Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2019

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Mon Mar 18 22:31:02 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On today's podcast we asked whether Andrew Yang or John Hickenlooper is more likely to win the Democratic nomination and I said Yang. — PolitiTweet.org

SPOILER: One of them is Andrew Yang https://t.co/UOIKqQed4E

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden seems like the only remaining candidate who's both (i) reasonably likely (>25%) to run and (ii) would really shake up the field. Although, I continue to think Stacey Abrams would be interesting and 16% (per PredictIt) seems low on her chances given recent news accounts. — PolitiTweet.org

Update: By my count there are 14 Democrats who have cleared the debate threshold or are almost certain to do so: Bo… https://t.co/jaFKyl7yNm

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten BeTtInG mArKeTs AgGrEgAtE iNfOrMaTiOn FrOm ThoSaNdS oF wEiRdOs aCcRoSs EuRoPe WhO bEt SmAlL aMoUnTs Of MoNeY oN tHe LiNe. HaRd To SeE hOw YoU bEaT tHe WiSdOm Of CrOwDs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated