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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden seems like the only remaining candidate who's both (i) reasonably likely (>25%) to run and (ii) would really shake up the field. Although, I continue to think Stacey Abrams would be interesting and 16% (per PredictIt) seems low on her chances given recent news accounts. — PolitiTweet.org

Update: By my count there are 14 Democrats who have cleared the debate threshold or are almost certain to do so: Bo… https://t.co/jaFKyl7yNm

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a fair number of ambiguities here. I was counting Ojeda as having run (and dropped out) before but am not now. Should some candidates automatically count whether or not they make the debates? Either way, we're headed toward ~20-ish Democrats running, most likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On today's podcast we asked whether Andrew Yang or John Hickenlooper is more likely to win the Democratic nomination and I said Yang. — PolitiTweet.org

SPOILER: One of them is Andrew Yang https://t.co/UOIKqQed4E

Posted March 18, 2019 Hibernated