Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 28, 2022

Created

Sat Jan 01 22:54:06 +0000 2022

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184

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@ModeledBehavior I have done this stockpiling not because I think this scenario is particularly likely but because it seemed worth it in the face of maybe a 2% chance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 1, 2022 Deleted after a month Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

We should maybe shift some of the regularity stringency currently being applied to antigen tests for Covid over to these guys —> — PolitiTweet.org

In our new @nytimes investigation, @aatishb and I spent months talking to experts, tracking down studies, and analy… https://t.co/ZaANiv8IuB

Posted Jan. 1, 2022 Deleted after a month Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Okay this is right it’s not a technical problem with the tests it’s a base rate issue. Apologies to Thomas Bayes and also to Mr Harless who taught me this in 12th grade. — PolitiTweet.org

For a disease w a 1-in-20,000 risk, a test w a false positive rate of 1% and a false negative rate of 0%—an insanel… https://t.co/fefpEcu1IJ

Posted Jan. 1, 2022 Deleted after a month Hibernated