Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 12, 2020

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Mon Nov 09 18:20:57 +0000 2020

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Metaphysics: When I was in college, I took a seminar with Robert Nozick and he had stomach cancer. One day he came in and said something like “the doctors tell me there’s a 70% chance I’ll be dead before the new year which raises some interesting questions.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@NateSilver538 Think of it this way: If you took 538’s forecasts to the gambling websites and used it as the basis for your betting strategy, you’d make money. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

He wanted to know: Is there some piece of info that the doctors lacked, where if they had it they could tell him definitively? (Epistemic uncertainty) Or was it the case that his condition was a 70/30 crapshoot of survival depending on cosmic rays or something? (Metaphysical) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated