Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 12, 2020

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Mon Nov 09 18:17:24 +0000 2020

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@NateSilver538 Think of it this way: If you took 538’s forecasts to the gambling websites and used it as the basis for your betting strategy, you’d make money. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

I used to get mad at @NateSilver538’s forecasts because I wanted to understand them in metaphysical terms, but I think if you come to terms what what he’s really saying you’ll realize that they are accurate and good and your anger is with the uncertainty of human knowledge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Metaphysics: When I was in college, I took a seminar with Robert Nozick and he had stomach cancer. One day he came in and said something like “the doctors tell me there’s a 70% chance I’ll be dead before the new year which raises some interesting questions.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated