(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Sept. 24, 2020

Created

Mon May 20 19:13:05 +0000 2019

Likes

Retweets

Source

Mobile Web (M2)

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A 2nd key thing that happened was that polling in more recent elections has generally been really right on... But 32 years ago, there was about a 7 point error. It's really impt to take a longer view picture on this stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I have spoken about how people tend to concentrate on winners instead of margins for polling misses. That's always a bad idea. A 2 point lead could easily be a 6 pt win or just the same a 2 point loss. 4/? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A few more points: Australia has compulsory voting, which cuts down on the likely voter problem compared to the states. Still, your listed margin of error ain't gonna help you if you have non-response bias. That's why I prefer looking at historic error rates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated