(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 24, 2020

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Mon May 20 19:15:48 +0000 2019

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A few more points: Australia has compulsory voting, which cuts down on the likely voter problem compared to the states. Still, your listed margin of error ain't gonna help you if you have non-response bias. That's why I prefer looking at historic error rates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A 2nd key thing that happened was that polling in more recent elections has generally been really right on... But 32 years ago, there was about a 7 point error. It's really impt to take a longer view picture on this stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Finally, OMG polls are not perfect. Stop treating them like something carried by Moses. They are tools. Seems to me the Australian polls pointed to a tight finish overall... and that's what occurred. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2019 Hibernated