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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
DeSantis is also "very online", picking fights that generate a lot of heat—and this is a poll of Twitter users, so… https://t.co/4gRnwN1pKZ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There are various plausible reasons: * Ds may think Trump is easier to beat. * Ds may think DeSantis would be more… https://t.co/QIZXgj714i — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Keep in mind that this is a self-selected sample of Democrats who saw this poll on Twitter. But still pretty intere… https://t.co/NQAFx8kYnK — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@elonmusk Yeah, I think it's a combo of Democrats who think Trump would be easier to beat, Democrats who think DeSa… https://t.co/wkFJitGw7z — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @baseballot: Tired: "Don't believe the fake polls!" Wired: "Polls are more reliable than actual election results" — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@MattGlassman312 @TheStalwart I'm still surprised someone hasn't tried to seed a new network by paying a well-curat… https://t.co/Occcy0xeI9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@TheStalwart And Trending Topics, though I think *maybe* they've tweaked the algo a bit to make it less incendiary?… https://t.co/w96QplToNj — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@TheStalwart Also Mastodon attracted a *certain type* who all agree with one another and every thread or toot or wh… https://t.co/AjxQAnHOhc — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If you're a Democrat (or a Democratic "leaner" who isn't really considering voting Republican in 2024) who would yo… https://t.co/GI2CDzq8SQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But also, educational polarization is particularly important in how institutions that rely heavily on a workforce w… https://t.co/aA31aF5Bfv — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yeah, in terms what's causing *shifts* in American politics, I think a lot of things are downstream from educationa… https://t.co/sKOk5BjQ37 — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
This post is full of vitriol against “education essentialists” (I think a made-up group) but repeatedly confirms th… https://t.co/vA3VLV0Eah
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm @conorsen I'm sorry but I'm just going to have to unfollow. The conflicts of interests are obvious, I'm an… https://t.co/qV7LopuqAT — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm I think there's some lingering residual bias from "the bad people believed in the lab leak" but the former is a lot more important. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm @conorsen First of all, Daszak isn't just "one guy". He was instrumental in trying to stigmatize investiga… https://t.co/axZwaXe2kR — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm @conorsen This is a very obvious and admitted-to conflict of interest! Not really a borderline case. https://t.co/YbrG0ofZcn — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen I think it's ~evenly split between: a) a ~sincerely-held belief that "reality has a liberal bias" and the… https://t.co/Y0pyGJzGhp — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm The former seems much more salient. They have an interest in future research funding, and they have an int… https://t.co/d9RXNrjksl — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen I feel like I'm taking crazy pills. I mean, I suppose I think journalists should be more skeptical of aca… https://t.co/24c8UyviIs — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
That's actually a pretty important issue! A lot of scientists publishing on COVID origins have COIs! It doesn't mea… https://t.co/O3V9f0k44V — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Marshall @joshtpm
This is a fascinating new approach in Lab Leak Discourse: scientists with domain knowledge are eliminated from conv… https://t.co/EwkiTfAf4N
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Take a look at COVID. Nearly everyone's lives were profoundly affected by COVID policy in a way far more profound t… https://t.co/p1pBw3cBnU — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This view is evidence-free and reductionist. A few super users would get annoyed. The others would just migrate to… https://t.co/oG2xxUQCoo — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm Again, I just don't think you and I are ever going to see eye-to-eye on some COVID-related issues. There w… https://t.co/nVQ4K2YiHn — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yeah, I see it as a question of statistical inference or probabilistic reasoning for which the evidence comes in a… https://t.co/LCJFpoWb0S — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Washburne @WashburneAlex
@ggronvall @NateSilver538 @ggronvall this isn't a scientific issue, it's a forensic issue w/ many scientists having… https://t.co/m0AqYxUYKm
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But mostly this was a spectacular failure of scientific communication. Sanctioning discussion of a theory that's po… https://t.co/tkd8cufng3 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Should experts assign some credit to "common sense"? Complicated question, but sometimes the answer is yes, especia… https://t.co/UbFGA9z1zs — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I still think it's worth noting the public holds this view quite strongly despite a *lot* of effort to convince the… https://t.co/CuQjLlLN00 — PolitiTweet.org
Gigi Gronvall @ggronvall
@NateSilver538 Still doesn’t matter— the majority of people could believe COVID came from aliens and it wouldn’t ch… https://t.co/X9oaCJMSF9
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende The combination of the pandemic and an election year made people extremely crazy. It was also the peak… https://t.co/2KKfyofJi1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JamesFallows OK fair but the polls do much much better than random. And much much much better than vibes driven forecasting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JamesFallows Kind of a myth! Polls are decently predictive even at this early stage. https://t.co/lgGJseVD2S — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
At this point in 2015, Bush was polling at 10-15% in the polling average. DeSantis is at more like 30%. It's a reas… https://t.co/2RN54XPGDt — PolitiTweet.org
David Frum @davidfrum
Quinnipiac March poll finds Trump 11 points ahead of DeSantis in a head-to-head matchup. In 2015, the big GOP money… https://t.co/Eo8Pk8pTM5
