Michael McFaul

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Which is exactly this alleged NATO expansion threat is complete nonsense. The New START Treaty still locks in place MAD (mutual assured destruction). The US will never attack Russia. NATO will never attack Russia. And Putin of course knows that. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

The US will not go to war with Russia over Ukraine. Everyone in Kyiv, Moscow, and Washington knows that. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @AmyZegart: 💯 % — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: As a long-time observer of Putin (since 1991), and a previous consumer of top-secret US intelligence for 5 years, I'm skeptical… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@Bershidsky Yes — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@ianbremmer THAT is true! — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: The job of an intelligence officer is to make probabilistic assessments about the intentions of foreign actors. The job of a US… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Putin, Putinism, and the Domestic Determinants of Russian Foreign Policy | International Security | MIT Press https://t.co/NSiijapszH — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

A useful exercise in predicting future Putin interventions is to study past ones. Read my take on Ukraine (2014), Syria (2015), and US (2016). Key takeaway-- emotional ideas, not just rational interests sometimes motivate him. https://t.co/L38IQFusle — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

ICYI: "How to Contain Putin’s Russia: A Strategy for Countering a Rising Revisionist Power" https://t.co/63tLnPCSUz via @ForeignAffairs — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

It sounds so dumb, because it's so not true. Ukraine is not planning to launch a military attack against Russia. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@ValeraAndroid Find me a quote from Jesus or one of those who wrote about him that supports your hypothesis. Genuinely curious. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

As a long-time observer of Putin (since 1991), and a previous consumer of top-secret US intelligence for 5 years, I'm skeptical of all assessments of his intentions. I don't know what he plans to do. You don't either. He himself has probably not decided himself. 4/ END THREAD. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Those spending so much time arguing about probabilities should spend more time discussing creative ways to influence these probabilities, no matter if you think it's 70% or 10% probability of invasion. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

If the IC assesses that the probability of Putin invading Ukraine is 10%, then the job of Biden, Blinken, Sullivan et al is to reduce that percentage to 5% or 1%. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

The job of an intelligence officer is to make probabilistic assessments about the intentions of foreign actors. The job of a US foreign policymaker or diplomat is to try to shape those intentions in ways that serve US interests. 1/THREAD. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@ianbremmer Fair point. As a practicing Christian all my life and a student of the teachings of Jesus for over a half-century, I get offended by people using his name (or his birthday) in vain & for purposes at odds with his teachings (in my reading of them) — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@JakeThunder12 @ericowensdc Those are not facts. No bases are being built. Zelensky is not a Nazi. (How many people of Jewish descent do you know who have become Nazis?) Do better. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

This! That is a Russian president signing a security agreement for Ukraine. So Ukrainians have a right to be skeptical of future security agreements signed by Putin, especially when they are not at the table. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@KevinRothrock wow. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: After 30 years of either liberal internationalism or all-out war, American strategists have forgotten the tools of "coercive di… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: The “threat” of Ukraine joining NATO is a complete Putin fabrication. NATO is not offering membership, and Kyiv knows it. They… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: "Toward Russia, Biden must embrace more coercive diplomacy. Gestures of cooperation must be accompanied by credible commitments… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @McFaul: A more effective U.S. policy towards Russia starts with a more effective U.S. policy towards Ukraine. With @O__Honcharuk , our… — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Wonder what Jesus would think about this way of celebrating his birthday? — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@ianbremmer Not sure about that. But moving on. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

RT @IlvesToomas: Re-upping ICYMI, these eminently smart and reasonable ideas from amb. Michael @McFaul. https://t.co/m4WLIkMxmp — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Wonder what Jesus would think about this way of celebrating his birthday? (Based on my half-century of studying the teachings of Jesus, my guess is that he wouldn't be too pleased.) — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

@Danaslewis It's the principle that matters. And yes, there is suspicion in Kyiv about deals behind their back after Biden cut a deal with Germany on NS2 without any consultation with Ukraine. (Just reporting here, not saying that suspicion is justified.) — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McFaul @McFaul

Not all Ukrainians think alike. But I deliberately wrote this piece with a Ukrainian to underscore the need to take their preferences into consideration when talking to Putin. https://t.co/scK6G0z1wB — PolitiTweet.org