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Michael McFaul @McFaul
Agreed. But it's complicated. The word, "legitimate", is an elastic one, both back then and today. PS. Your tweet compelled me to track down my 1986 honors thesis on Soviet interventions/non-interventions in eastern Europe ('56, '68, '81)! Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org
Konstantin Sonin @k_sonin
There is an apparent flaw in comparison between possible Russian involvement in crashing #KazakhstanProtests and Hu… https://t.co/jYBvfUd4Ge
Michael McFaul @McFaul
To remember the formalities of Soviet interventions in Hungary 56 and Czechoslovakia 68 (and non-intervention in Poland in 80-81) , pulled this ancient document off the shelf . https://t.co/FvwlJH4v6X — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
For the first years of the Obama administration, I served as the NSC Senior Director for Central Asia. Back then, Nazarbayev made a compelling argument for why he was the Lee Kuan Yew of Central Asia. But modern autocracies have a fatal flaw - no legitimate way to transfer power. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
It’s too early of course to know the endgame in Kazakhstan. But a pattern in the Eurasia Economic Union (after 30 y… https://t.co/idpAJWPt49
Michael McFaul @McFaul
No, I am not sure. — PolitiTweet.org
Wolfgang Ischinger @ischinger
@McFaul Are you so sure you and I live in conditions of reliable stability, on both sides of the Atlantic, @McFaul ?
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@ischinger No, I am not sure. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@MattBatzel Yes. No. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Of course, I am 100% against those who used violence on January 6, 2021 to try to overturn a free and fair election. I also find it both regrettable and dangerous the actions of those who have helped to legitimize these anti-democratic actions. — PolitiTweet.org
Philip Sczerzenie @sczerzenie
@McFaul Then you must be against the GOP whose base has no problem with violence to serve their ends.
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @jardemalie: A full police brigade in the city of #Atyrau has sided with the protestors! This signals complete shift in the dynamics of… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @FSIStanford: 🗓️ EVENT REMINDER | Jan. 6, 11:30am PST Join @StanfordCDDRL's discussion with @didikuo1 and @hakeemjefferson about #Janua… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
With my co-instructor @HamzawyAmr, doing final edits today of our syllabus for POLISCI 242G, Political Mobilization and Democratic Breakthroughs. We cover both successful and failed cases. What are your recommendations for the best cases to study in the last 40 years? — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I'm against violence by both governments and protestors. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Exactly. — PolitiTweet.org
Henry Foy @HenryJFoy
No wonder Russian elites fail to understand why countries join NATO if this is how they think collective security a… https://t.co/xyfTs15Pku
Michael McFaul @McFaul
The old joke was that NATO protected members from invasion while the Warsaw Pact invaded members. Hoping Putin's #CSTO military alliance doesn't become a new Warsaw Pact. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Kazakh President Tokayev's appeal for #CSTO (aka Russian) military assistance to repress #KazakhstanProtests has eery echoes of Hungary 1956 and Czechoslavia in 1968. Hope it doesn't happen. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Smart thread by @samagreene on how to think humbly about analyzing & commenting on #KazakhstanProtests. Id add @OxusSociety & @ponarseurasia as organizations that have Central Asian scholars in their networks. — PolitiTweet.org
Sam Greene @samagreene
(1) If you want to know what's going on in Kazakhstan, read people who are experts on Kazakhstan. For me, this incl… https://t.co/HynWZqPOG9
Michael McFaul @McFaul
A great lineup of experts for those wanting to learn more about #KazakhstanProtests . Tune in! — PolitiTweet.org
Melinda Haring @melindaharing
Today at 9:30 am, please join us for a discussion about the protests in Kazakhstan. @andrew_danieri will be moderat… https://t.co/ZrWlKVWu3A
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Nice to see people on my Twitter feed learning about the CSTO today. (NATO is not the only military alliance in the world.) — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Tokayev of course blames protests on foreigners. (And just you wait, some foreigners will echo his claims. Wait for it.) — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Wow. Struck by the fact that Tokayev has already floated this idea in public. — PolitiTweet.org
Kevin Rothrock @KevinRothrock
Looks like Kazakhstani President Tokayev has asked the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization for mili… https://t.co/uCzS1ica16
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I was deeply involved in talks around these events at the time. I never heard of a Beijing veto. I do know Obama & Medvedev discussed many times. US-Russia cooperation on Kyrgyzstan prevented worst case scenarios like CSTO intervention. That factor obviously not present now — PolitiTweet.org
Sam Greene @samagreene
This is interesting. Kyrgyz President Bakiyev made a similar appeal in (somewhat) similar circumstances in 2010 and… https://t.co/P3E31i0zB9
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @grudkev: When looking at protester demands in Kazakhstan, keep in mind the protests aren't centrally coordinated and there are many lis… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @aavst: Транзит Путина похерен - Соловей о событиях в Казахстане https://t.co/y070qBR275 через @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @FSIStanford: Tensions between Ukraine and Russia highlight the need to revitalize the overall security infrastructure and agreements in… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
With revolts now in Kazakhstan, every single EEU member has experienced mass mobilization against the regime. Every single one. Autocracy is not a stable form of government. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
With Belarus and Kazakhstan, Putin created the Eurasia Economic Union, his club of autocrats to counter the democratic EU. Armenia and Kyrgyzstan joined later. (Russian pressure on Ukraine to join the EEU and not sign an EU accession agreement, triggered the 2013-14 protests).1/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
In Russian elites circles, they used to talk about the Kazakh model as a pathway for Putin to step down as president and rule de facto as an "elder." Probably not anymore. — PolitiTweet.org
Konstantin Sonin @k_sonin
Nursultan Nazarbaev ruled Kazakhstan since 1989 (as an independent nation, since 1991); for the last couple of year… https://t.co/YmY4fAkNVc
Michael McFaul @McFaul
It’s too early of course to know the endgame in Kazakhstan. But a pattern in the Eurasia Economic Union (after 30 years, retiring “post-Soviet”) is becoming clear. People get tired of autocrats, even high-performing ones. Autocracy is not a stable form of government. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Wow. — PolitiTweet.org
Vladimir Kara-Murza @vkaramurza
Фото дня. https://t.co/kpXjEg2pT8
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @ThomasVLinge: #Kazakhstan 🇰🇿: streets of #Almaty flooded with thousands of people. These are the biggest protests in Kazakhstan in yea… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Hah! — PolitiTweet.org
𝚃𝚠𝚎𝚎𝚝𝚜𝙿𝙼𝙷 @TweetsPMH
@Mpolymer @kaitlancollins Maybe trying to get @McFaul to leave the beautiful Palo Alto and head to Kiev ?
