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Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: Between appeasement and war, there is a third and better path -- Helsinki 2.0 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Successful diplomacy often requires negotiators to de facto embrace ambiguity and even hypocrisy. Think of the creative rhetoric/doctrines that Americans & Chinese have done brilliantly (so far) to keep the peace around Taiwan. & read Krasner's Sovereignty: Organized Hypocrisy. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
P.S. and all the key players know exactly what I just wrote. Putin knows. Biden knows. Zelensky knows. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Yes. The U.S. is not going to war with Russia over Ukraine. Russia is at war with Ukraine. As long as Ukraine is at war with Russia, Ukraine will not join NATO. & that's why Putin remains at war with Ukraine. The "Ukraine-joining-NATO-threat" has been completely invented by Putin — PolitiTweet.org
Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim
Ukraine should certainly be part of any agreement reached with Russia, but doesn’t the United States have the right… https://t.co/kUfJYtDPT5
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@DAlperovitch Yes. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
You are soft on China if you don't support democratic reforms in the U.S. The China challenge is both about power and ideas. If we do not renew our democracy at home, we limit our ability to compete ideologically with China worldwide. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Obviously, the stakes today are much higher -- about war and peace, not an arms control agreement. But those claiming to know that the no-NATO-for-Ukraine is a Putin red line either have access to Putin that I don't or should be more humble in their assessments. 2/ END. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
During the new New START Treaty negotiations, Russia insisted on adding constraints to missile defense. We said no. They didn't drop that demand until the very END of the negotiations. (Turned out it wasn't a red line.) 1/ THREAD — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Putin is no fool. He knows that Biden will not and cannot agree to close the NATO door for Ukraine. What we don't know yet is if he is holding on to the unrealistic maximalist position to trade for other things, or does he just want to attack Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Between appeasement and war, there is a third and better path -- Helsinki 2.0 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
I agree. Actually, I’d even say it’s bigger than post-Soviet space. Like Germans after Versailles, Putin wants a rewrite of the post-Cold war order. I was responding to specific proposals on my feed about Ukraine/NATO. & yes Putin will never stop undermining Ukrainian sovereignty — PolitiTweet.org
Ivo Daalder @IvoHDaalder
Don’t fall into the trap that this is about Ukrainian membership of NATO. It’s about Putin’s ability to control Ukr… https://t.co/jpVQfHkYUW
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Important thread by @ArkadyOstrovsky : — PolitiTweet.org
Arkady Ostrovsky @ArkadyOstrovsky
Watched two main end of the week news (propaganda) shows on Russian television. Ukraine is conspicuously absent fr… https://t.co/y1I45xKSVb
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: Rereading George and Smokes terrific book on coercive diplomacy in search of cases in which the threat of a massive military i… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Of course, such a deal is very unlikely. But it's even more unlikely that Biden will impose a moratorium on Ukraine's NATO membership. Those pushing that idea seem completely oblivious to both internal NATO politics and more importantly, American domestic politics. 3/ END THREAD — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Ukrainians must decide for themselves what they would want from Russia in return for a moratorium on NATO membership. But one can imagine the trade space: a pledge to not join for 10 years in return for (1) Crimea (2) or end of Donbas war (3) or reparations for Crimea etc./2 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Biden/NATO should not & cannot close NATO's open door. Moratoriums on membership can only come from aspirants, in return obviously for something from Russia. That's how successful negotiations work. Ukraine & Russia must cut a deal, not US & Russia. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @IlyaStrebulaev: Where Were Unicorn Founders Born? New result on immigrants & US economy For 1,078 founders of 500 US unicorns, I iden… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@bracerolegacy @FSIStanford @StanfordMBB Tough loss — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @BerniceKing: Please share this quote from my father through #MLKDay2022: “I think the tragedy is that we have a Congress with a Sena… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @McFaul: Putin already violently violated a 1994 security agreement on Ukraine's sovereignty. Under what conditions should anyone believ… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
RT @anders_aslund: @McFaul Not only, Putin has violated so many international treaties, e.g.: The UN Charter, Helsinki Final Act 1975, OS… — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@Vandam1986 @FSIStanford Нету! — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@KyleSouther1 Please don’t call me “Mikey” — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Rereading George and Smokes terrific book on coercive diplomacy in search of cases in which the threat of a massive military invasion triggered a peaceful and stable agreement/settlement. Not coming up with an inspiring list of cases. Just scary ones. Your recommendations? https://t.co/SYZbdOzRUt — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
The view from @FSIStanford today. (Yes I’m working today, but just a little!) https://t.co/NgtkdGO47F — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Seems like just the opposite to me. Xi support for Putins CSTO support was striking — PolitiTweet.org
Evan Feigenbaum @EvanFeigenbaum
This is nonsense. This mythical Russian-Chinese "crackup" in Central Asia is think tank and journalism fantasyland. https://t.co/9RI6gytaMQ
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Putin already violently violated a 1994 security agreement on Ukraine's sovereignty. Under what conditions should anyone believe his credible commitment to a new guarantee? Serious, not rhetorical, question. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Between war and appeasement, there is a third and better way -- #Helsinki 2.0. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
Rooting for all former @StanfordFball players playing this weekend, but especially #Bills @horribleharry99 & #Raiders @SollyThomas90 who I've known since their freshmen year and watched with admiration their careers -- on & off the field -- ever since. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael McFaul @McFaul
@GPA_AS @BuffaloBills Love your #BillsMafia enthusiasm. Ever since @horribleharry99 started playing for them, I've become a Bills fans too! — PolitiTweet.org