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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@WaelChehab1 @henrizaq Baddna Rum. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
(When volatility or drawdowns are large, the price contains no information.) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@tututpouet @saylor Framing is blockable. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Fork_Harder @BigRonCrypto @saylor ~1300 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Phase 3: @saylor will be walking around Miami dressed as Napoleon, emphatically lecturing lamp poles, feeding them & himself with statistical disinformation. Below is his stock "outperformance". A recent drawdown of ~90%, an earlier one of ~96%. https://t.co/3eDm5SNu34 — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Saylor⚡️ @saylor
Since Aug 10, 2020 when we adopted the #Bitcoin Standard, $MSTR has outperformed 97% of S&P 500 stocks.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Envy is visible and detectable: when someone envies you, you sense it right away --way before he or she becomes conscious of it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@johnzabb @omar_ghxd St Paul IS Christianity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) The conflation of necessary & sufficient is more technically called: affirming the consequent. [Notes for #FooledbyRandomness] Almost all comments on my Twitter aphorisms usually make that mistake. https://t.co/n8NJ7nWenQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Doing both North Carolina & North Lebanon this month. North Lebanon is much steeper (w 3000 feet el. hikes) but you can only trek from dawn to late morning. N. Carolina is more humid but has a density of trees allowing permanent shade, allows all day hikes. https://t.co/CZb2uE0aj4 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sharpenotes Modus ponens is an intelligence test. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) E.g. blockchain arguments"it's a NEW technology, denying it is like denying the early internet". They mistake NEW for a sufficient condition. I walked out of a barber shop in Beirut who wanted to use the electric th. in place of scissors when he said "we use cars not horses" — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My #1 marker for the designation "imbecile": the person conflates NECESSARY & SUFFICIENT: "Math is necessary to undrstnd probability" they counter w/"math doesn't always work". "Experience is necessary to undrstnd finance" they use counterexamples of old pple who made mistakes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@lawzinaj In Levantine, qitil becomes nqatal, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Mountain hiking on uneven and steep terrain is the perfect antitode to cycling: no two steps are ever the same. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@frank87628630 @RikkulaPavan Yes I got Graeber wrong. https://t.co/OshoBHnRq9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Typo: publicly. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I've been wrong in one direction: initially assuming the person has intellect or integrity/good faith [as w/Tetlock, Pinker, or others]. But so far I've never regretted having publically called someone an imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
Максим @peekknuf
I wonder if there's a list of *all* ppl whom Taleb ever called imbeciles and/or frauds Just to see if he's ever bee… https://t.co/Cl46nKkKa5
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Kitsune808: Oldie but goodie! #FEDincompetence — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Clearer https://t.co/T6BYYazzMW — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/VMqiArl3p5 — PolitiTweet.org
Edmond Ioannis Shami @EdmondShami
Had fun solving this riddle from Cut the Knot. I used conditional probability (P(G|T) > P(T|G) due to path depend… https://t.co/NbQaNp…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidboxenhorn @ArieHaziza @MKM_Abdul @holland_tom @TheRestHistory Philo? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jeff070 @CornicheCaveman Balal Arman ma fi 7alab, ma fi Bayrut, ma fi... Balal Rum ma fi l Skandariyyé. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jstarklefkowitz @NachoOliveras @scmarco69 @miljko @JordanHedberg @EconTalker Yes that's the problem with Nacho. A serious problem. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PaulSkallas Orthogonal — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Porkchop_EXP @lalaAlicelala Ancient Levant — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @GeorgeJNasr I will tweet AFTER I read it. Soon. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
11- My approach to this is on how Christianity fares with respect to decision making under opacity and uncertainty. I am not a theologian but a probabilist. https://t.co/6mvx3NZsLi — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NachoOliveras @jstarklefkowitz @scmarco69 @miljko @JordanHedberg @EconTalker Yes but unlike you I didn't spread nitpicking bullshit data about the risks to not confuse others. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jstarklefkowitz @scmarco69 @miljko @JordanHedberg @NachoOliveras @EconTalker Nacho is statistically confused. The problem is causing death because of his incoherence. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A medical paper that does not replicate. Why? https://t.co/7FY1Hl3F45 via @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org
