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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The small pleasures of the morning. https://t.co/h84gA0QSLT — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Antivaxxers try to confuse you w/categories, nitpicking, vivid images, & word salads. This graph may have some cross terms but it remains that the mortality risk of vaccines~0, order 1/100 million, its *mortality* risk reduction ~1 order of magnitude across ALL (yes) age groups. — PolitiTweet.org
Kashif Pirzada, MD @KashPrime
@nntaleb @VPrasadMDMPH He’s blocked most of the medical community on Twitter. At this point he’s playing to a rathe… https://t.co/MxzaTWYSYD
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Megmd514 @KashPrime @tnicholsmd @VPrasadMDMPH You don't seem to get that MORTALITY for vaxx ~0 vs non 0 for <20. Did you even look at the number? Why are you talking about "risk" confusing classes? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
But for some people it is just unconditional. Fools of randomness who think of themselves as "pre-rich" but are in fact "pre-poor". Transforming my adage "Investors who make it only talk about losses; those who blow up only talk about profits" into conditionals & subjunctives. https://t.co/wsWaccx4Yz — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
ANALYTIC PHILOSOPHY DU JOUR Bitcoin is slowly moving from a *subjunctive* asset to a *subjunctive conditional* one… https://t.co/vYfBbhRQ5P
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@birdxi1988 Yes, flips for x. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Bravo. It is noble to own up to one's mistakes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArieHaziza Identical copies — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
(Note on Notation: F(X_1) is short for F_{X_1}(x)) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Explanation of the 1/n dominance theorem. https://t.co/1AbWVjIcWA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The great Paul Embrechts w/collaborators just proved the dominance of 1/n under v. fat tails, something I didn't re… https://t.co/biaHKQjsiB
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ofer_rubin @RDouady Ofer, ignore him. Pro-Russian antivaxxers with Ivermectin conspiracies will never like my tweets. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ragcast Economy shrunk by ~10% IN SPITE of that. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Kuist123 Imbecile, I reverse course and countered it the minute I smelled it turned into a scam. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Some Clarity on Russia This is a country that started with an economy the size of Spain getting diverted in Ukraine (instead of worrying about China) & trapped in a costly war of attrition in which time inexorably destroys both its economy & its military capabilities. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) Another thing that puzzles me. Many conspirationistas love my idea of bureaucrats being IYIs, intellectual yet idiots, while at the same time assuming they have the genius to manage a complicated and seamless plot. How can they hold such contradiction? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) To survive, your mind must resist narratives. That's skepticism. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) I've seen in a long career thousands of traders/investors go bust. I've never seen a conspiracy theorist survive. You need natural skepticism, a certain reasonable filter. (Experience is when you see history running forward, not from snapshots filtered by the survival bias.) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RDouady You didn't know that I block people for sophistry here? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Conspiracy theorists can appear guarded, distrustful & skeptical, but as bitcoin, anti-vaxxologism, & Russian dezinformatzia has shown, they are monstrously naive and very, very easy to scam. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dalaminus Paul. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MikhaelBerg Not related. Khedduri was his father's first name, very common among Iraqi Jews. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@INArteCarloDoss Je reviendrai en novembre! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"Selling [assets, stocks] is like eating pistachios. Once you start, it is very hard to stop." Ezra Zilkha. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"Selling is like eating pistachios. Once you start, it is very hard to stop." Ezra Zilkha. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EleftheriaFrei @willchamberlain Imbecile. https://t.co/XRtTajVpBU — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SaadMaan15 Turkish nationalism replaced Universalist Islam & went wild... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Gregoresate @Firsou @johnmilbank3 Yes, Nietzsche had a problem with Christianity & the New Testament. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou It is actually well known that he hated antisemites; most people hate him because Nazis liked him. This guy @johnmilbank3 is bullshitting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MrAlexisPereira You are bullshitting here/confusing the thread. Look at repayments, not loans. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) The source of the American "liberal arts" degree is the English upper classes imitation of the Ancient Meds who despised work & workers. As Jules Veyne said: "[in the Ancient World] you are free [liber] if your name don't come w/a profession". https://t.co/Yo8zxvtT4b — PolitiTweet.org
Ofer Rubin @ofer_rubin
@nntaleb https://t.co/KJZape5w6a
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) If a U.S. college degree appears to be useless, it is by design. For "liberal arts"= training for upper class free men (liber) who were above having a profession. You learn to earn $$ in vocational or professional schools. Middle class parents were tricked & fleeced. — PolitiTweet.org
