Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The problem with this spin is that 1/ natural immunity comes with death, 2/ Covid does not seem to confer such immunity. #BSvendors — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ Creditors can be v. good at finding hidden money, particularly when the stakes are high. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

"Sam Grok" (SBF)'s wealth went from $24B to exactly 0 (minus liabilities & legal bills). He can't afford a (diet) coke, not even a lower quality latex condom. He must move in w/his mother or, worse, spend some time in jail at our expense while completing his financial education. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

"Sam Grok" (SBF)'s welath went from $24B to exactly 0 (minus liabilities & legal bills). He can't afford a (diet) coke, not even a lower quality latex condom. He must move in w/his mother or, worse, spend some time in jail at our expense while completing his financial education. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

"Sam Grok"'s net worth went from $24B to exactly 0 (minus liabilities & legal bills). He can't afford a (diet) coke, not even a lower quality latex condom. He must move in with his mother or, worse, spend some time in jail at our expense while completing his financial education. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ektrit Enver H was my grandfather's classmate in Montpelier. They were fast friends and my GF was his only contact outside Albania. When my GF became foreign minister H would ask him via the Chinese embassy to negociate on his behalf with Italy and other countries. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

ASYMMETRY So far I've never erroneously called a fraud (person, company, industry*), though I have made a few temporary mistakes in the opposite direction*, w/initial presumption of legit * Was initally fooled by bitcoin, psychologists (@ptetlock, @sapinker) bt quickly corrected — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

ASYMMETRY So far I've never erroneously called a fraud (person, company, industry*), though I have made a few temporary mistakes in the opposite direction*, w/initial presumption of legit. * Was initally fooled by bitcoin, psychologists (@ptelock, @sapinker) bt quickly corrected — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @annamasera: Che bello ascoltare @nntaleb che inaugura @BiennaleTech @PoliTOnews, grazie @lucadebiase @demartin per averlo portato a Tor… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Sam Bankman-Fried got *temporarily* rich because he is BOTH aggressive AND clueless about finance. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DellAnnaLuca @demartin @lucadebiase @BiennaleTech Sorry we missed but as you saw I was choking trying to find an exit. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

[Yes, I voted (absentee ballot)] — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NektariaAna There is a connection between χαρά and خَيْر. They mean in that context the same thing (blessed be your morning). The etymology of KYR comes from "choice" and "guess", so "blessed" may be from homonymity. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @xjr358: @paulg “In this case, Putin will be overthrown from the inside, because, historically, people who accept autocracies do not lik… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Teich50 No, since all derivatives match so applies to all a \in R. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@exergiovanni Please ignore this link https://t.co/Chay88lZsB is not me and has no updates. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The (reviled) bitcoin "black paper" of 2021: explaining why bitcoin cannot be a currency without government, a store of value, a hedge against tyranny or catastrophic episodes, nor as I show in detail, a hedge ag. inflation. https://t.co/HWE66WGeWx https://t.co/cWtJ4gH6tE — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Crypto: a gigantic construction built by maladjusted children. You were warned. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Italia https://t.co/JZOpjnMr9t — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@victorviard @omar_ghxd @Darius1296 @Porkchop_EXP @saifedean Ok to nitpick here for discipline. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @Darius1296 @Porkchop_EXP @victorviard @saifedean Also for the record I never voted for Trump. I supported some policies (still do) but saw Saudi Arabia, budget, etc. Trump followed his nonconservative voters ... principle: stick to policies not parties or, wose, humans. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

https://t.co/fKvxUYYqSV — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Satyaki_R There is another way... Feynman's — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @Darius1296 @Porkchop_EXP @victorviard @saifedean BTC in 2012-14 was not BTC in 2020 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

For those who like Feynman... — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Porkchop_EXP @victorviard @omar_ghxd I've been wrong on a lot of things. Covid is not one of them. Nor BTC. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Porkchop_EXP @omar_ghxd Always a good time to start. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

False. 30D vol is volatile, and BTC vol just jumped back. All it takes is 1 observation. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@KGravas My problem is usually squeezes. Low volume leads to diff with physical. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@KGravas Too low, can be squeezed. Easier w physical. — PolitiTweet.org