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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@VitalikButerin Mr Vitalik, nerds like you don't think in dynamics, and fail to incorporate background information. The timing is the central information here, not the fact that he sold. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

LESSON: CHARACTERISTICS OF PRE-BLOWNUP SPECULATORS Real speculators may have price targets, sort of predictions, but are adaptive, aware of their fallibility, leave room for error. A pre-blownup (idiot @nayibbukele) predicts but also assumes that he will *never* make a mistake. https://t.co/gNUHpY80ii — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 @SuparTipstar Or, worse, an idiot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SuparTipstar You did not get that this is precisely the problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

It reminds me a 2007 joke in Moscow at the time when the Oligarch space had a high turnover. One Oligarch was trying to borrow $5 to buy a copy of Forbes Magazine to find out if he was still on the new billionaire list. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The fact that the amount is relatively tiny, $1.6m, is the worrisome part. It has only one single explanation. https://t.co/zWRmd3uRGm — PolitiTweet.org

PlayingMantitos @MantoDaPoet

@ojrdev @nntaleb If you think about Taleb's salient point above, the "weekend cash" amount should make you even more concerned

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@MantoDaPoet @ojrdev You got it! Why bother for 1.6 million? Unless you really need cash. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Take what you can out of the sinking ship. In the real world, that is, pre-crypto, a CEO never sell his or her own shares while shouting "all is OK". A CEO selling shares expresses such a loss of confidence in the company it is taken extremely seriously. https://t.co/tzqnIwjd8q — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

By contrast, the nervetti in gelatina below (chopped up tendons & from the foot of a calf) & the tripes were the cheapest items on the menu; cheap as they tend to be thrown away or traditionally given to the poor. Best tasting but considered "popular". https://t.co/NnqDOGUfpc — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Professor @DrCirillo's knowledge of probability and extreme value theory is matched by his expertise in *real food*… https://t.co/6ZAbpEWIjF

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@mvitorodrigues @nytimes You're an imbecile. It was PUBLISHED in the NYT, with a tiny portion of the audience able to afford it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I meant decamillionaires. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Hello, @nytimes, why do you keep pounding us with BS about "inclusivity" yet promote a restaurant that charges $600 for fish that's not even cooked? That's 14x the regular sushi meal. How many non-decimillionaires can afford such a meal? Explain. https://t.co/T9De0dmCcm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Hello, @nytimes, why do you keep pounding us with BS about "inclusivity" yet promote a restaurant that charges $600 for fish that's not even cooked? That's 24x the regular sushi meal. How many non-decimillionaires can afford such a meal? Explain. https://t.co/T9De0dmCcm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022 Just a Typo
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Dwightwasright6 No — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Kazakhstan panel: My point: Geopolitics is full of journalistic verbalisms, magnifiying "threats". Look at data and transactions. Interdependence is such that harming China would harm the US and vice versa. Boundaries are hard to define. "Made in China" gds often made *by* U.S. https://t.co/ydN4WebiDR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 16, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Many are getting this wrong. It does not mean that being a poor student is a road to success. It means that being a poor student is not an impediment to future success. Logic is hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Marco Liera @LieraMarco

SCHOOL GRADES GIVE NO CLUES ABOUT FUTURE MASTERPIECES’ AUTHORS Dino Buzzati, author of The Tartar Steppe, got an u… https://t.co/roCPuYhlDM

Posted Nov. 15, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @tripoli187 @GraecoSyrian Almost all street beggars in BEY around hospitals are doms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@tripoli187 @omar_ghxd @GraecoSyrian Unlikely. https://t.co/rNKjSi6NW7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @LieraMarco: SCHOOL GRADES GIVE NO CLUES ABOUT FUTURE MASTERPIECES’ AUTHORS Dino Buzzati, author of The Tartar Steppe, got an uninspiri… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 10 hours
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@tripoli187 @omar_ghxd @GraecoSyrian Navari — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022 Deleted after 22 seconds
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@digvijoy_c @marco_m_alves @TuckerMax @EdmondShami New version. Itthanks Alves. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Porkchop_EXP Colombian is even better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@GraecoSyrian They changed the pic on the right. The paper threw in a random picture of what they think wd pass for Syrian. Daily M is known for shoddy journalism. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022 Deleted after a minute
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@pauld198 @Nabil_Alouani_ Had he read me properly we would have seen fragility in that bitcoin crap. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The FTX collapse is such a great ad for bitcoin that #btc lost a quarter of its value (so far). --- The strategy is to claim that any piece of news is good for bitcoin, which helps them find dumb supporters. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael Saylor⚡️ @saylor

The FTX collapse is an expensive ad for #Bitcoin. Too many good ideas have been pursued by the #Crypto industry in… https://t.co/KOGpbWqFq5

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Rumor has it that Mr. Lavrov insisted on having a room on the ground floor. The hotel manager did not understand the reason. — PolitiTweet.org

Mikhail Khodorkovsky (English) @mbk_center

Lavrov chilling out in Bali, while his country, Russia, is at war with the West, with an iPhone and ... dressed in… https://t.co/gzkwgnn5Ix

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Darius1296 You may be conflating it with the notion of "global governance". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 @Porkchop_EXP He doesn't have sex, from what I can see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@eCash1337 You got it backwards. Commerce STARTED after the collapse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@geoffreydgraham Yes, in the back of Antifragile, with metrics for fragility from nonlinearities from variations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022