Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid You are posting "no effect on mortality events", which is a misrepresentation, instead of "there is too much noise around a signal of a risk factor". It is because there are ~1 O(.) magnitude more CVD events for every death, hence smaller sample. I will summarize this in a post. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid In other words, you can't explain your misrepresentation of the paper? I know you want out a discussion here: your Twitter handle indicates you are stuck to fat, not scientific truth, and nothing changes the mind of a militant or a propagandist. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@AmerAssaleh @PaulSkallas @Darius1296 @omar_ghxd https://t.co/yj1ngAg23i — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid Before going further with your distractions into mothers, babies, and imagery, you did not explain why you are making claims about a "central" result that conflicts with the one in the paper. Is it because you think people don't understand data? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4) 22 years later, ChatGPT is allowing us to do the Reverse Turing Test. https://t.co/fEIviuqBgK — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@PaulSkallas @Darius1296 @omar_ghxd Please use the "Arabic speaking Christians" designation — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @tripoli187 @Darius1296 Remember that with theologies (monotheism) comes a vocabulary — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @tripoli187 @Darius1296 Yes, but the origin is Syriac, like many many words in Islamic texts. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) The AI responses remind me of @ptetlock's — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid In plain English; he is bullshitting. And you are focusing on my "snarky" argument to draw the attention away from his bullshit? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid You are strawmanning away from the central argument that the paper you refer to does not support your claim. Note: Spanish diet today is not representative of historical Med, poorer. A. Greeks did not allow red meat outside of special days. Still MY religion, Greek-Orth,today — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Darius1296 @omar_ghxd Mar Hobo is Aramaic for Love The Lord. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NonMeek You think too much in logs, hence the 0, which wd be the growth rate. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JJ123452022 Socratic dialogues are often used by slick bullshitters trying to play you in a debate or in a courthouse. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) In case the thread loops away from this. https://t.co/jI3GRp0bvP — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The thread below shows the severe defect of AI: verbalism. It works with labels, maximally shallow thinking not any better than buzzwords. See also below my definiton of verbalism. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DavidDeutschOxf @powerpig @wolfejosh Coming from you, a worthy compliment! Indeed I am using a criterion of rigidity as a proxy for consistency. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Darius1296 @omar_ghxd Not necessarily. I as a Christian speak the language but do NOT connect to that world. Same with the Maltese. So it has to do with religion. Period. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@FiSurgi @qwerty_simon @StevenMBelknap @bigfatsurprise @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid Can be lifestyle, can be smoking, can be anything. You can also attribute the rise in heart attacks to bull or bear markets. We hunt for these fake correlations. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid The seatbelt is not central to the metaphor, but hospitalization. "Historical role of food"? The ancestors of N. Europeans DID NOT eat the same saturated fats. Those of Mediterraneans had an olive oil based Med diet. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @nntaleb: The Sam Bankman-Fried Affair in one Tweet. He (illegally) gambled with his customers' funds, but (by his own admission) never… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Courier_New48 @konnualex Fucking triple idiot, is Salman Rushdie an Arab? How about denizens of the Republic of Iran? And how many Peninsular bear the name Nicholas? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @nntaleb: @StevenMBelknap @bigfatsurprise @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid Your claim has the statistical rigor… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NachoOliveras Smaller accounts were almost made whole. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@StevenMBelknap @bigfatsurprise @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid Your claim has the statistical rigor of an open bag of marshmallow two months after Halloween. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DavidDeutschOxf @powerpig @wolfejosh This bot works with labels! — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DavidDeutschOxf @powerpig @wolfejosh Indeed. 100% verbalism, which I am trying to define. https://t.co/uVrOS7fLYj — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@niklasoestberg Madoff had the intention to make it all back and get legit. He was just waiting. All Ponzis start with good intentions. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid This did not answer my question. You are saying the papers show no drop in heart disease, which is not what the papers show, both in data and statements. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Courier_New48 @konnualex Fucking idiot, you are tweeting in English. — PolitiTweet.org