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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad @mcuban @elonmusk No, Gad; this is not about science discovery, but about public policy. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No, for Baal's sake, SBF did not "f***k up big". He committed fraud. @FinancialTimes, can you get it? https://t.co/Kdr1ahIBvr — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad Salemtak — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
How it sounds: light gravel with a road bike (32mm). https://t.co/t3x20xQQWN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JohnJcollias https://t.co/UxVzCjRnzl — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Light gravel is unexpectedly pleasant https://t.co/BFNKS8qg64 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@yhazony Of course we don't *know*. But the riots keep going. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@thearigoldberg @bigfatsurprise Robust — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
POPPER'S METHOD: What I did with @bigfatsurprise (I didn't know she os a prpgandist) was make her show me the MOST convincing study: working with HER CHERRYPICKING. The one with "67K", "ignored by mainstream media". Popper started by clarigying with the most convincing argument. https://t.co/ptAj3bwBlB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ms Nina Teicholz @bigfatsurprise's own paper shows that cutting on Saturated Fats gives a 98.6% chance of reducing… https://t.co/yKc2rGAuO8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
If you are getting diet advice from @saifedean, you must also take investment advice from him. Bitcoin was $63K then. Note that being also a liar* is the least sinister of his attributes. --- *I currently weigh ~30lbs less than he claims. https://t.co/VFkzKmKSn1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
5) When I asked Ms Teiholz @bigfatsurprise to name A paper in support of the Saturate Fat Doesn't Harm theory, he gave THAT one. Now, this is not a good one for her. She has the behavior of a disinformation artist. (I weigh 30 lbs<than Saifedean claims) https://t.co/0Sibt1tUQR — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bigfatsurprise You are a charlatan and retweeting a liar (lying is @saifedean least severe flaw) and engage in disinformation. Do you have an idea how much I weigh now? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bigfatsurprise @thepawandubey @DrDamluji "Richard Smith, chair, Patients Know Best" is not a statistician, he did not probe into the details, AND a book review is not a scientific document. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) The Mediterranean diet is not Spain's tapas. Ancient Greece: Meat was rarely consumed. But bread was dominant & it was in bad taste to put too much nonbread on bread. https://t.co/QqBEu7MC61 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
When hearing bad reasoning I used to feel a jar, similar to a series of wrong notes in a familiar piano piece. Later someone who BSed, even a single time,had the same effect as someone w/bad breath that you unconsciously avoid. Today a bullshitter feels like a carrier of Ebola. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MillunchickZ @bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji The idiot who wrote the conclusion didn't get that a 4% drop in mortality is damn good; it is huuuuuge given its error rate AND a 17% drop in CV events. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
It is now starting! Today Iran abolished the Morality Police that enforce the hijab. Rebellions accelerate when otherwise rigid autocracies give concessions. The Tocqueville effect. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Women revolutions are harder to repress, and not just in Iran. Remember that they represent 50% of the population a… https://t.co/kSICXN1yje
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@StevenMBelknap I am not conditioning. Try to read again. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Furthermore, the Cochrane pple (statistically naive & procedural) treated CV events and CV mortality as independent (one LEADS to the other); if you condition you get a much HIGHER confidence for the drop of mortality from avoidance of Sat Fats, perhaps 99%. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DoctorTro @bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid Hello Dr, did they teach you statistical inference in medical school, or you just picked it up on Twitter? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid This closes the thread https://t.co/FobMdSW8Jr — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ms Nina Teicholz @bigfatsurprise's own paper shows that cutting on Saturated Fats gives a 98.6% chance of reducing… https://t.co/yKc2rGAuO8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Please do not invoke "ancestral" diets in support of the consumption of hamburgers and supermarket butter: these were different animals, and were eaten at a different frequency. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AmyHerrell @bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji Sorry but I block pple for low grade equivocation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jwillardcurtis @bigfatsurprise @DrDamluji "Saturated fats" today may not be ancestral but that's not the point. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ms Nina Teicholz @bigfatsurprise's own paper shows that cutting on Saturated Fats gives a 98.6% chance of reducing CardioVascular Events, and AT LEAST 86% of reducing mortality. Statistics is hard for the verbalistic. cc:thanks to @DrDamluji https://t.co/sU94FSiYHd — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sos_intern @PrometheusCHT @bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid This is not about seed oil. There seem to be no direct studies on seed oil. It is about *modern* Saturated Fats. If you are going #Lindy, commercial cow meat is not Lindy a bit. Even commercial "grass-fed" beef is grain finished (consumers reject the taste). — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dzviovich Donde? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EmmetPeppers @bigfatsurprise @StevenMBelknap @LuisCLCorreia @DrDamluji @cochranecollab @nationallipid What substance? And I am only "like that" when I smell BS & face recitations of propaganda. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd @SaadMaan15 @Darius1296 Aramaic (Talmud) is the same as the Arabic meaning... https://t.co/2BmYRkzFSP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd @SaadMaan15 @Darius1296 R7B is indicative of space. Let me figure out. Also present in older, Aramaic & Hebrew רחב — PolitiTweet.org