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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@birdxi1988 @CutTheKnotMath @joe_shipman Thanks Zhuo. Visibly your hand one does not have long runs. https://t.co/dXu4infuYn — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Using a Markov chain to estimate the expected number of runs. The number of runs of 7 must bet ~2 https://t.co/61uIhNIUHZ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Using a Markov chain to estimate the expected number of runs. The number of runs of 7 must bet ~2 https://t.co/61uIhNIUHZ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BiufooFoe9ohv6k @DrCirillo Why don't you go give advice to someone else? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
III A wise decision is one that is sound both prospectively and retrospectively, in both foresight and hindsight. Our best definition of #Precaution — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Voila — PolitiTweet.org
Dr. Freaksworth 🇨🇦🇷🇸 @hazardppp
@nntaleb Thermal fossil fuel-powered plants: very little local risk (mostly air pollution and landscape devastation… https://t.co/74OUxCvRi2
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Our debate with Ioannidis,II Plus why "forecasting" and "evidence based" are both unscientific and unwise under pandemics. Thanks to @pierrepinson @spyrosmakrid https://t.co/0MASA64BEq https://t.co/T6ZuDXHLes — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
HOW TO HANDLE A PANDEMIC Our debate with John Ioannidis. Plus why naive single point "forecasting" and "evidence based" methods are both unscientific and unwise under pandemics. Thanks to @pierrepinson @spyrosmakrid https://t.co/0MASA5N0MS https://t.co/BwPeWc5ZC9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You should detect by eyeballing. — PolitiTweet.org
Zhuo Xi @birdxi1988
PROBABILITY PUZZLE In memory of @CutTheKnotMath Which sequence below is more likely to be generated by the “real” 2… https://t.co/INky7SKrOo
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Marcellenassif @holylandsalt פה بالعبراني — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou How many hours for $300? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @DIAS: All my Turks and Greeks please please please take 47 mins out of your life and watch this documentary on the population exchange… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Heinonmatti This is not quite a PL. Zifplots are insufficient. You need EVT to prove it. Would love to replicate. https://t.co/11Vuc9Io7b — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Heinonmatti BM did not like this https://t.co/2lJWE2SvEA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Heinonmatti The sandpile story is controversial & supposedly Bak did not have a proof... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@tonyapc42 @dvoshart @Baal_Baalim Blocked the imbecile. He is just a photographer. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Heinonmatti I have an inside story of Mandelbrot on Per Bak — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
SYSTEMIC RISK: non-diversifiable. You can in principle break-up into n reactors to get the needed risk diversification/prevent Chernobyl from being too large. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@realjohnmonarch Systemic = 1 block. Nuclear is in a diff category (non subexponential) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
In Principia Politica, there is a rule: No institution without an expiration date. — PolitiTweet.org
Jared Yates Sexton @JYSexton
We need to be honest about just how screwed up this country is and how its institutions are in maddening crises. W… https://t.co/hAWjGGJcZx
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @JYSexton: We need to be honest about just how screwed up this country is and how its institutions are in maddening crises. We need to… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Baal_Baalim @dvoshart Voshart you imbecile this is how you get coloring, by comparison. An confirmed by genetics: Lybians looked no different from other Mediterraneans. You are an imbecile. https://t.co/G6P3qcN19l — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Baal_Baalim @dvoshart He seems clueless about genetics. He is just a photographer using cultural notions. Many fail to get that Southern Mediterraneans are Western Eurasians (the Europe/Africa distinction is not accurate). — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dvoshart @Baal_Baalim Voshart, are you a geneticist? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ByzLevant Went away recently — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dottorpax Aspetta mi, vengo subito prima che la lasagna si raffreddi — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@nickdesb @GaryNotHairy @PTetlock I will make it very simple for you: I am picking what method I like not the one you like and you can go fuck off. Simple enough? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dottorpax Dove? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I am not saying NUCLEAR is not dangerous. It is in a different class of risk. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY I am not saying it is not dangerous. Just a different class of risk. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
NUCLEAR I NEVER said that nuclear energy was safe. I said that it does not fall under the Precautionary Principle as there is ~no systemic risk. Nuclear accidents are additive not multiplicative (unlike GMOs & viruses). The risk (for small reactors) remains local not systemic. — PolitiTweet.org
