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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
1) Naive statistical charts don't help the pseudolibertarian case with Sweden, except to confirm the risk-aversion of the population outside state intervention. 2) Now compare Sweden to Denmark & Norway, and find new arguments. [The "minor" second wave puts it in the top 1%] https://t.co/7sp6J48xlv — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Collum @DavidBCollum
Sweden opened up and embarrassed the world by showing it was fine. They had a minor second wave. The Eurowankers pu… https://t.co/GGrNTD4OWQ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@javid_lab @DrWissam Yes, but why is it there? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, can an expert/archeologist/historian help with this symbol? https://t.co/odHuStfRJv — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Depositors were clearly not 100% victims, particularly when wealthy & supposed to be sophisticated. 80% of Lebanese depositors have cashed out (since it's a Pareto law: 1% of depositors have >50% of deposits). FBR (2001) https://t.co/k1rdwVEIUu — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) #Yiledhogging is actually defined and described in Fooled by Randomness (2001). https://t.co/YWQ9JhaZ98 — PolitiTweet.org
iamhammed @jliegeman
@nntaleb Yieldhogging may be a new Taleb coinage. I will use it, but attribute.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Something unpopular: The bulk of the "losses" in #Lebanese #lollar deposits is just interest not made at all (& interst on interst). Many, many are actually ahead or breaking even. #Yieldhogs were making >5-7½% extra for years, >60-100% per decade. Yieldhogging is not risk-free. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SrinivasR1729 https://t.co/kSxYXTlikB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @spyrosmakrid: Rob's seminal paper https://t.co/4Oi1yMbW0k speaks on its own about the value of forecasting competitions. Some pointless… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ArieHaziza Not Turkey? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Stefan Gasic summarizing #RWRI BS busting (@Sapinker's naive empiricism) https://t.co/j7cV42AmuQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @NonMeek: Today’s #Offshorecomic | Naive inference in the real world [1 out of 2]. | humor sparked by @nntaleb #danishmaskstudy #COVID19… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
When an official declares that a problem "is over", it means that the problem is most certainly in its beginning phase. Otherwise he/she would forget to talk about it. — PolitiTweet.org
Fuat @lilygrutcher
President Rouhani, minutes ago: "President Erdogan's words were not aimed at damaging the sovereignty and territori… https://t.co/WiviH1ZG1E
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @RiskMathMoney: "We should have a plan to eliminate Google." - @nntaleb https://t.co/qEBqQlWbKw — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Ergodicity illustrated https://t.co/q6qqRsmWOc — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Illustrates ergodicity https://t.co/gQI9FvMufb — PolitiTweet.org
Henry @MyCashCow
@AWice How you will go bust on a favorable bet. (Kelly/Shannon/Thorp) by Nassim N. Taleb https://t.co/rJq0gNzhYD via @YouTube
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Lebanese microfinance. Yalla. Anti-Ponzi @riachi_jean @CathrynPapa — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @ATomasi__: @NizarLy @nntaleb https://t.co/AOZdZGCb7S — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The title is blown up but the article is right on point. You miss on ergodicity, you get nothing in decision-making under uncertainty. @ole_b_peters — PolitiTweet.org
Bloomberg @business
“The problem is that much of academic economics has gone off the rails.” https://t.co/zTIvIulNZV
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AnthonyOrlich Lebanese is NOT Lebanese Arabic — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SaadMaan15 @maelivee @initlabor The point is that MENA is not East-Med. And S. Europe is not N. Europe. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Cato did it at 80 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The four languages (plus Latin). — PolitiTweet.org
Alvărus | ῎Αλβαρος @Alvarus_lat
Ejusdem, ejusdem, ejusdem, ejusdem... https://t.co/Mz9nQltcT0 https://t.co/JTZfKzHyvf
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@maelivee @initlabor Bullshit. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Final. https://t.co/us2Na1bFk3 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AshleyRindsberg Yes it struck me when I read it first... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@initlabor do non è molto diverso da quello che eravamo prima del trattato di Westfalia. La gente scrive nell'unica lingua franca, l'inglese — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Typos https://t.co/dZanYEc2qF — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Typos https://t.co/c17i4D2wm1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Charles Corm, Mediterranean multicultural cosmopolitanism. https://t.co/MlWVMGSFiI — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SeloSlav Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org
