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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@airto888 No evidence of link to severity. Only death. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rdfmedeiros @cyrano54 Read my tweet. Survival != risk of severity — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rdfmedeiros @cyrano54 For severity, no. For survival, maybe. Again people make all these claims with no idea about the data. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: 11) While the risk of death from Covid increases with age, nearly triples per decade, the severity (risk of hospitalization) i… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The fatality risk ratio of Covid per y of age: 3^{(t-\tau)}{\pi^4} Not much worse than the regular force of mortali… https://t.co/suTZaY47KY
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@cyrano54 No evidence of fitness. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
11) While the risk of death from Covid increases with age, nearly triples per decade, the severity (risk of hospitalization) increases only ~ 40-50% per decade. The same is expected to apply to morbidity. Being young and fit is no protection. https://t.co/87MH9Td2dn — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The fatality risk ratio of Covid per y of age: 3^{(t-\tau)}{\pi^4} Not much worse than the regular force of mortali… https://t.co/suTZaY47KY
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TheEliKlein His using "science" is. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Conservatives need representatives more ... moraly elegant than this junk. Ted Cruz lecturing people on science? He should be also giving lectures on senatorial ethics and responsibility towards the collective during adverse events. — PolitiTweet.org
Senator Ted Cruz @SenTedCruz
Democrats need to follow the science. We need to get our kids safely back in school.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @LaurentDietric2: Un petit calcul de cette suite d'intégrales en passant par Fourier et les probabilités (loi de Bates). J'ai pas fini l… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LaurentDietric2 @mradassaad Excccccccellllllllent Laurent — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Tolstoi_77 @joex92_ @robinmonotti Not saying it is useless since I took it, but rather weak-to-unknown benefits so far, in spite of hype and promotional statistical gimmicks. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@graemeblake @ketchman https://t.co/3xHxr2uEWI — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeandallie @ai_ameriqbal @stevenstrogatz I've used it before using Integrate[Series[f[a,x],{\infty,..}]\\Normal,{}] — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joex92_ @robinmonotti You like that ignorant Monoti did not get it was an animal model and the typical administration of Ivermectin is several half-lives before dexa. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joex92_ @robinmonotti This is BS. Beyond BS. Ivermectin is typically delivered day 1 of symptoms for 4-5 days during the viral phase. Typically, you avoid steroids in the viral phase because of their immunosupressive effect. So dex comes usually day 7 and there is no overlap (several half-lives >) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ai_ameriqbal Brilliant! But I need to verify. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ip204 What kind of BS is this? Zerocovid could be a reduction of second order effects. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MK_Systems_nl Fucking idiot reread my comments about BTC. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GiulioBertoli Works only for the first. Higher powers require more advanced tricks. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
People have no idea that being a crank is not about what opinion one has. It is about the absence of rigor & nuances in the reasoning behind one's opinion, & what sources are used as backup. You can also spot cranks from miles away the way their opinions cluster across subjects. — PolitiTweet.org
LawrenceMcGuire @blmcguire1
@nntaleb Isn't it possible not to be a crank, not to 'deny Covid', not to have severe errors in reasoning, and stil… https://t.co/mUyWfw7Ax5
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@blmcguire1 Of course. But so far all I've seen is cranks doing so. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rehack20 Connectivity. You need to control for wealth/connectivity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@docbhooshan @VlVEK Could also be connectivity/isolation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@axelpopaxel @robinmonotti I took it. Visibly, #SkininTheGame but let's not confuse a potential mild risk reduction with cure. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@docbhooshan @VlVEK Hi, any data I can see? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ventilation. The Japanese figured it out early & used it as policy. Strong statistical signal in temporal (seasons) & cross sectional data (coutries). Early rises in E Europe in the fall as people went inside, & in hot places in summer when air conditioning was turned on. — PolitiTweet.org
Vivek @VlVEK
@nntaleb How do you explain this for India with a population of ~1.38 billion with effectively no practical lockdow… https://t.co/xdf12YXMiW
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@airto888 @robinmonotti More negative signals came to correct & there was some cooking in Marseilles. Signals are not one-way. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TedHectorMess @btccyberhornet 10x Norway. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@VlVEK Ventilation — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PetraccaMassimo Imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
