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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Nlitsardopoulos Comparing states to states... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@thechrisbuskirk Marshmallowbrain, Fl and California have the SAME Covid exposure. What makes conservatives so stupid about date? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Footnote: Florida and California have the same mortality from Covid,~1500/mil, about 40% less than NY, NJ and MA. Also you must compare states that have the same connectivity. Compare Sweden to Norway not the UK. Don't compare NY to Iowa. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@thiesen_adam Of course! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@HomegrownJoan2 @Iamblichus1 Joan, please block cranks. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is the usual BS by Covid-challenged pple. Florida has ventilation & outdoors activities (one has to be blind to miss from the picture); cannot be compared to NY. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Henderson @robkhenderson
“Florida’s death rate is no worse than the national average, and better than that of some other states that imposed… https://t.co/HouV4uAQSz
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @ArieHaziza: Fresh from Stefan Gasic’s Bakery and just in time for my presentation at #RWRI, #RWRI15 @NonMeek https://t.co/qElVB6Xpxn — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@StanCalderelli This is an idiotic statement. Under which conditions are they useless? If you stupidly let the pandemic run wild, it becomes a necessity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
When we showed pandemics ~ powerlaws (v. fat tailed), fatalities were 134k (actually they were ~10K when we started working on it). They are 2.64 million now in spite of efforts. Thread explains our debate w/Ioannidis & why one shd avoid forecasting & focus on mitigation.. — PolitiTweet.org
Pax @dottorpax
Con @nntaleb abbiamo scritto questo articolo ad aprile 2020, e le vittime stimate oscillavano mediamente attorno al… https://t.co/u1qepKq4iy
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @dottorpax: Con @nntaleb abbiamo scritto questo articolo ad aprile 2020, e le vittime stimate oscillavano mediamente attorno alle 134000… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @RichmanRonald: The series (hosted with @Sharpe_Actuary) on Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book, the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails will… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @LongFormMath: I think this has a legitimate case to be the most startling identity in mathematics. It’s a simple, natural sum involving… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ziadtouat Fuck, no! Was not pro, open-minded BEFORE the RCT. I am A scientist not a partisan. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Nobel Shnobel. This is statistically-driven science not expert opinion. If Ivermectin works, results MUST show in (properly ran) Randomized Controlled Trials. If RCT don't show results, the opinions of 2,191 Nobel prize winners don't count. Gabish? — PolitiTweet.org
Ulisses Sampaio 💉💉 @UlissesPSampaio
@nntaleb @robinmonotti Mr. Nassim, annother for the discussion: Satoshi Omura, 2015 Nobel prize winner for the disc… https://t.co/vE5vZ50cR8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@miljko @mathoncbro @eppe It works soooooo much better online! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Extrachelle You don't notice it when on the ground. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@aledeniz @PaulSkallas @NachoOliveras @lorenzotural Same in Arabic qaddoura قدّورة — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Simcha_Gross In some villages in Lebanon & the Mediterranean, people go by the mother. Provence: Jean de Florette. In my mother's village, I am "Nassim Minerva", to distinguish me from "Nassim Almaza"... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Simcha_Gross Can it be the matriarchal form in 19: bar Shoshana or am I mistaken? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Simcha_Gross It says "bar" not "ben" or am I mistaken? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@stefbianchi Yes but the risk is convex. My point is not the link but the nonlinearity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mathoncbro @eppe But for you we will lift the restriction. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@stefbianchi Found convexities: + hypertension (160 systolic is vastly worse than 140 & NNT is lower) + aortic regurgitation (1/half-time as metric is convex) + ventricular hypertrophy + atrial expansion & risk of fibrillation + size of ascending aortic aneurysm & risk of death (45 mm vs 55) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mathoncbro @eppe Sometimes in October. We give 30-70 scholarships under the condition that the person attends the whole thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mathoncbro @eppe You're invited to the next iteration. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AadidevSharma @Imamofpeace No, fucking ignorant. Exactly the reverse. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mecnunkalfa @eppe https://t.co/30k63kWJyn — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Beirutspring Rum as hell! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digkabri @DrMichaelBonner I will order one right away. This is the 18th printing of the previous edition. https://t.co/D4nnWiCdzo — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@p_hbar_k Perfect solution! — PolitiTweet.org