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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @YogiBerra_bot: If you can't imitate him, don't copy him. #yogiberra — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Cyberlibris Yes because portfolios are concave to correlation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@emmavj @rhymerrigby Two bullshitters, characteristically journos, with vague dismissive nonempirical statements. There are about 20 times more business failures than business successes. In August 2019 there were NO self-account of failures in the Union Square Barnes & Noble Bookstore (largest). — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@emmavj @rhymerrigby Why are the 2 of you journalists so... stupid? Counts the self-accounts by failed people vs books by successful ones. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
FINANCE DU JOUR It suffices for the correlation between any 2 assets to have a random character, that is, needs to be "recalibrated", for everything in Modern Portfolio Theory to fall apart. Also applies to AQR-style strategies called "risk parity". Proof via #ellipticality — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
FINANCE DU JOUR It suffices that the correlation between any 2 assets to have a random character, that is, need to be "recalibrated", for everything in Modern Portfolio Theory to fall apart. This applies to AQR-style strategies called "risk parity". Proof via #ellipticality — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You learn from accounts of failures much more than those of successes. Yet the "success literature" flourishes and books on "how I lost x $" go out of print. — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Wilkinson @awilkinson
This is a story about how I lost $10,000,000 by doing something stupid. Ten. Million. Dollars. Literally up in sm… https://t.co/a8YZ2NbBbJ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Looks like the result does not hold for all values of s. https://t.co/swPLwTQ82q — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mndp42 @newmandustin Can you elaborate on the MN example? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@wgdaquila Yes — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jheck20 What the fuck is this stupid comment? I am not talking about the constitution but showing that Republicans are statists in the worst sense of the world. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Heinonmatti @Thoughtscapism @VTulkki Matti you are engaging a shill with a shoddy record. Just to let you know that you do not need to go to complexity theory: there is a foundational science called statistics/probability theory --and of course risk analysis. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@eruditenights @m4h007 @Monsantobuster @JonSchw73589513 @BrankoMilan One never knows it can be a free option. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@m4h007 @Monsantobuster @JonSchw73589513 @BrankoMilan Prof Majib, you can harass me instead, as I said earlier. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Monsantobuster @m4h007 @JonSchw73589513 @BrankoMilan Professor Majid, please start with this. Let me know if you find problems (of course beyond the nitpicking) and I will reward your help in return. Please note that the nitpicking goes to the errata. https://t.co/vZ0mDNg1Fh — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JoshHochschild @BrankoMilan Nothing to do with originality. You can't say someone lacks originality if you don't know his or her works.9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The sad point in this thread isn't the content, but Twitter. It's that both @BrankoMilan and @JoshHochschild , both scholars, end up engaging some unknown crank with statements about things he knows nothing about thinking he too is a scholar. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrMichaelBonner @financequant Or just "omnibus". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@zeroXbrian Almost same with Europe. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) What defenders of U.S. states dominance over municipalities don't seem to get is that Texas is larger than most European countries: a centralized Texas is no different from a statist regime elsewhere. #Localism — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Monsantobuster @Thoughtscapism Is she a shill? She is only citing shills. MSB I thought you would do your homework. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Republicans want decentralization for states, but not for cities. Here & w/masks. That's statism!!! #Localism "The Texas House passed a bill that would bar cities and towns from restricting natural gas hookups in new construction or utility services. " https://t.co/S9PwtWaWcs — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @rationalwalk: Reading Fooled by Randomness for the fourth time since it is part of the box set. You can read a book many times, but i… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JonSchw73589513 Who are you bullshitting? It is not just abt MPT. Your entire thread & motivation meant to show that I basically did nothing & worth ignoring, that Mandelbrot did everything. You HAVEN'T EVEN READ my work, obviously not understood the problems raised, not seem to know anything. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JonSchw73589513 You keep spreading ignorance. Mandelbrot did not discuss ellipticality. And he never worked with statistical inference/option pricing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Interestingly, I indeed showed that Mod. Portf. Theory is incompatible w/fat tails &non-ellipticality, mathematically, empirically, & practically. Fama knew abt Fat Tails but ignored the (trivial consequences). >100 theorems https://t.co/BOe4sIX5gy PDF https://t.co/vZ0mDNg1Fh — PolitiTweet.org
Jon.Schwartz @JonSchw73589513
@Monsantobuster @BrankoMilan @JoshHochschild @agostino_harry @lastpositivist @searchingthru He showed you that Fama… https://t.co/xS3qNBax3k
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DudeNeuro @BruceGodfrey @simonfriederich @mboudry @VTulkki @Thoughtscapism Imbecile, they are NOT criticizing me, they are misrepresenting me. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@herr_berglund @Thoughtscapism @mboudry @simonfriederich @VTulkki There is distance. @herr_berglud did not get the point at all. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mboudry Imbecile, you still didn't get the notion of SCALE and DISTANCE. You are mapping words to phenomena. I block idiots. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mboudry @simonfriederich @VTulkki @Thoughtscapism Nature does not introduce the genes of sharks into tomatoes. Natural evolution is piecemeal and slow. Read our argument before falling squarely into fallacies: Falling 1 time 10 meters != falling 10 times 1 meters. — PolitiTweet.org
