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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This fellow fits exactly my definition of a dangerous imbecile. These people cost us trillions of $, not counting millions of victims. They still don't get their errors *ex ante*, they see them *ex post* (send troups *after* the battle) See our paper https://t.co/0MASA5N0MS — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman @HomegrownJoan2 @MarcosCarreira @GidMK Quite disappointed to see you defending an EX ANTE dangerous imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GidMK @HomegrownJoan2 @MarcosCarreira Dangerous imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics @HomegrownJoan2 @joe_shipman @MarcosCarreira @GidMK As my guest! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@HomegrownJoan2 @joe_shipman @MarcosCarreira @GidMK Excellent, Joan — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman @HomegrownJoan2 @MarcosCarreira @GidMK His statements a year ago were dangerous: absence of evidence vs... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Note: Assume the coin is "fair", that is delivers equal probabilities of "H" or "T". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Throw a coin, H=head, T= Tail. Which sequence one is more likely? A={H,T,H,T,H,T,H,T,H,T,T,H,T,H,H,T,T,T,H,H} B={H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H} C={H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,T,T,T,T,T,T,T,T,T,T} — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@igraymatters @FallingIntoFilm @thomaspainenz @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano Block idiots. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BlueSertorius @everydaywaco @shaarsh2 @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano I block for quackery — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @FriedrichHayek: The libertarians & conservatives were lying about this also ... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@shaarsh2 @naniiyer @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano Do you treat Covid patients? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@tib @oscarrojas_1 And never hire a CFA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Raphd Worse — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ishirubi @ManojTutika It was my startup. Was involved with a few. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@shaarsh2 @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano Separate days, but declining in incidence. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@shaarsh2 @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano Plus sudden cripling fatigue, lungs burning, random sore throats, insomnia, muscle tightness, skin needles, all hitting when the previous day was 100% normal. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Nlitsardopoulos Please explain. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Looks like we have a solution thanks to @financequant and @DrMichaelBonner https://t.co/RiINsRC1cB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
There must be a word to describe a commentary that applies to any situation: you don't need to know anything abt th… https://t.co/Mjv28OdsYg
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EGKhoury Like Covid, it has a sudden unpredictable behavior. https://t.co/d5Jb2pFZnm — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EGKhoury Try for my added condition 2s \in Z>0 (otherwise no closed form) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EGKhoury Numerical: because of the explosive n!^(2 s) you can get to x= 10^200 without seeing convergence! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@racmauc So what? It comes with being human. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EGKhoury Could not take it to \inty, for diverges until 10^20 and no computation is possible beyond — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Looks like I got the proof. It pays to be stubborn. It really pays. https://t.co/YACCrz28xK — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@otrasenda_AC @normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano We don't know Covid's effects on reproductive functions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics @peterdeptrai @WLTSchirano I was more worried about the vaccine until ...I got Covid. It is still there, 2 months later, with unpredictable symptoms. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@WLTSchirano Ok then — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@WLTSchirano This has nothing to do with spreading anti-vax statistically misleading titles. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@WLTSchirano "representing less than 0.01% of all fully vaccinated individuals in the northwestern U.S. state..." Why are you spreading this crap? — PolitiTweet.org