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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Happy Friday everyone. There are few, very few Twitter accounts that do not produce a lot of noise: conspiracies, sensationalism, over/undersampling, overreaction to unrepresentative and low signal events. And, BTW, a reminder that @Snowden is a fraud. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I have nothing to do with this account, but I follow it & include the aphorisms in #BedofProcrustes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's Wisdom @TalebWisdom
It seems that the sophistication of French cuisine arose from the need to mask the lack of freshness of the ingredi… https://t.co/6FiSsACMaN
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Nil perditi. — PolitiTweet.org
Comrade Classen 🚢 @ComradeClassen
Someone broke into my car last night. The bastard took nothing and left the most valuable thing behind @nntaleb w… https://t.co/HPLwrHdkdY
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @ComradeClassen: Someone broke into my car last night. The bastard took nothing and left the most valuable thing behind @nntaleb would… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mpawlo @sreutercrona Mazel Tov! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, on CNBC at 8:40 wearing the Halloween mask @black_swan_man gave me. https://t.co/8D1EZ71asI — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends,will be on CNBC at 8:40 using the Halloween mask @black_swan_man gave me. https://t.co/c4u63JH72d — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Further, bank account are for "currencies"= current, betw transactions, not stores of value beyond liquidity buffers. Cryptos are vehicles for price appreciation, not same category. And no, the blockchain is not DECENTRALIZED, a mistake I made. https://t.co/S5QCtlp3pa — PolitiTweet.org
David Keene @davidkkeene
@nntaleb Bank accounts have FDIC backing. That matters. Crypto is backed by nothing, owns nothing, earns nothing.… https://t.co/KmMMcnpkz8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@StephenFDiamond @EconTalker @amazon @AmazonKindle What happened? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@marksaroufim @EconTalker Imbecile — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Bank accounts may be electronic but they are backed by a legal system not by a college of miners. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A book is something you own; you can give it to someone else. It is an asset. An app or an electronic boon you don't own; you can't transfer them; they're not assets. (Frm @EconTalker) Likewise contracts on blockchain depend on the maintenance of the blockchain. Discuss. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2/ P.S. This friend of mine polishes his own shoes so he has no contact with shoeshine people. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You know it is perhaps close to the time to short when the Uber driver is trading cryptos, checking his portfolio live while driving. [The picture was taken minutes ago by a friend]. https://t.co/yfDlBPVpPA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My spam box hid an option strategy that makes money ~83.33% of the time. Just like Russian Roulette. No surprise when psychologists like that idiot @PTetlock still conflate probability and expectation. https://t.co/XcjklCa9ji — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY Pearson is always more informative under right conditions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman Of course. Symmetric. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SimonPulleyn @BellesLettresEd — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Future traders (myself) pay tax on Marks to Market. Form 6781: "Under the M-to-M rules, each 1256 contract held at the end of the year should be treated as if it were sold at its fair market value on the last business day of the tax year." — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Consider that if we established a capital gain tax on *large* unrealized earnings (as a "draw" agst. future realiza… https://t.co/AMwSvEV9jX
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@QifaNabki N. turned Geagea into a demi-God for Sunnis, particulary those in Tripoli. Overnight. It is eerie. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@maintcraft But with French wine. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Consider that if we established a capital gain tax on *large* unrealized earnings (as a "draw" agst. future realization) we could pretty much close the deficit. At 45% Fed+State, just the owners of Tesla would owe half a trillion! Unless, of course, it collapses the market. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR Recall the HRV problem: there was no information, too much noise/ratio. Why you MUST log variables as information shows up and hidden correlation emerges. Created a new semi-Lognormal multivariate. https://t.co/9ZGCs0Rbyb — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sentantiq @PaulSkallas Paul, please stop. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@QifaNabki He is playing them. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sentantiq @PaulSkallas Thanks for not accusing me this time. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@lawzinaj Zhgrata-> Zgharté — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@lawzinaj Or kharso/3amyo... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @black_swan_man: #blackswanman #theblackswanman @paulkrugman #Monopoly #Evilmonopoly #DrEvil #game #rigged #averagejoe https://t.co/0Q8N… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
On Bullshit — PolitiTweet.org
Cedric Paternotte @cedric_p
Which philosophy paper has the best title ever?