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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY @tweetatweir @PZalloua @polemitis @spyrosmakrid Ok for indiv not populations — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sez_dss @PZalloua @polemitis @spyrosmakrid There is a lot of crusader stuff in Tripoli, highest in Leb. Will know later but I suspect close. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ibnmeeninta @PZalloua @polemitis @spyrosmakrid The database does not distinguish but we know they are very close to one another. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Finally w/@PZalloua we have full DNA of the Greek Orthodox from the Koura [blue]. As expected, they are ~ indistinguishable from Cypriots. But, TOTALLY unexpected: also indistinguishable from Maltese! Science is beautiful. We don't have Crete yet. Paper in progress. https://t.co/KUpbboRXc7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY @Snowden I agree. But it is foolish to isolate today as compared to 2014, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 Look at commodity prices now. And with interest rates at ~ ZERO. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Basically, anyone talking about "hyperinflation" today is a complete BS vendor. I mean really repeating what you read on #BTC circles by fortune-cookie economists. There was a risk of hyperinflation. But it was in 2008. [PS- And remember that @Snowden is a fraud.] — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, *Hyperinflation* seems to exist in the minds of noise-prone pple on Social Media than in the numbers. 1)… https://t.co/3adMhM6ell
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ofer_rubin @jaffer_ali1 The Soviets did not rely on Chinese labor availability. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mouneer @saifedeain Sorry I block idiots. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
To sleep at night, train your mind to write off two thirds of what you have. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jaffer_ali1 The more gov has a portion of GDP, with linked salaries, the more control of inflation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman @iamungit @jack My point is that the data shows a deflation since 2008 and those who claim inflation must also show the entire story and admit deflation as well. There is a risk of hyperinflation, but NOT from the data. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@diegorattaggi Golden ratio — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AtrinAssa Onassis was not writing books. I keep notes for my business activities. Actually Onassis had one notebook and no office. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
If you need to take notes to write a book, don't write the book. — PolitiTweet.org
Rory Sutherland @rorysutherland
“If you need to write it down to remember it during your presentation, your audience won’t remember it either.” – @DellAnnaLuca
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
And remember that @Snowden is a fraud — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, *Hyperinflation* seems to exist in the minds of noise-prone pple on Social Media than in the numbers. 1)… https://t.co/3adMhM6ell
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LouisLebbos @patrick_oshag @dhh BAtroun? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@IamDoubleP @RobRastapop I block idiots. Sorry, nothing personal. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"Money Suppy increases", if they went somewhere, they went to ... Bitcoin. https://t.co/SCUOM85Hh1 — PolitiTweet.org
K. A. Miller @KaMiller1
@nntaleb Perhaps the heretofore-unfathomable inrcease in money supply is not causing distortions in the places we are accustomed to looking?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Lumber has been most sensitive because of real estate but it gave back almost ALL gains, at 2018 levels. https://t.co/eqzCIMLvhN https://t.co/9tUzwKAl2j — PolitiTweet.org
Cumulus T. Lump @lump_t
Well, they are hyper inflating some aspects of the, well, hyperinflation. But I saw lumber prices go up a hundred… https://t.co/1Illvhp6PO
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) So what we have to worry about is the asset price inflation resulting from low rates; these historically have collapsed at the first sign of tightening. Vulnerable (by order): Cryptos, Residential Upper End Real Estate, Stocks, Residential RE, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) So what we have to worry about is the asset price inflation resulting from low rates; these historicalled have collapsed at the first sign of tightening. Vulnerable (by order): Cryptos, Residential Upper End Real Estate, Stocks, Residential RE, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) So what we have to worry about is the asset price inflation resulting from low rates; these collapse at the first sign of tightening. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@calummiller @JKempEnergy is a professional bullshitter. https://t.co/0zsk3Q2zM2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RobRastapop Did you look at the chart before commenting? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JohnJcollias @ishirubi Happy B ! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, *Hyperinflation* seems to exist in the minds of noise-prone pple on Social Media than in the numbers. 1) COMMODITIES: The CRB is lower than it was in 2014 and waaaaay lower (50%) than 2007. 2) SHIPPING: The Baltic Dry Index is 60% *below* 2007. Jst local disruptions. https://t.co/QdxQXxol8g — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"If you don't know the context, statistics are meaningless." Andrew Gelman https://t.co/3D1RDMMYi5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Mehdi_IR_DC @NahanniFinanci1 I memorized them as a child. Use a rosary with 99 beads. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
In Fooled by randomness, I show where you mostly observe noise at short scales. https://t.co/Z88sIR6yx1 — PolitiTweet.org
