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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Sharpe_Actuary @diomavro https://t.co/1jbzVK80ax — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No. Power law like hell. https://t.co/reg7zdzs5Z https://t.co/V9X9QIc3oj
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Nonconverging 4th moment then you take the Max/Sum plot. https://t.co/zS97YaIEX1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No. Power law like hell. https://t.co/V9X9QIc3oj — PolitiTweet.org
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 @diomavro
I was told by a senior guy that crude oil returns are normally distributed. Anybody have a link?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Detecting BS in correlation windows https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Detecting BS in correlation windows. https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Detecting BS in Correlation Windows https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
And Remember that @Snowden is a fraud. — PolitiTweet.org
Reuters Fact Check @ReutersFacts
A video of football fans marching in the Austrian city of Graz in 2019 has been miscaptioned online, with social me… https://t.co/QjPSrWtemR
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @wolf_vukovic: Excellent! To sum up: buying 50 ‘stuff’ in 2020, and 50 ‘stuff’ in 2021 is NOT the same as buying 0 ‘stuff’ in 2020 and… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidboxenhorn @Extrachelle Looks like you made it home out of Newark. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joelakirsh @drjohnm @Spfannenschmidt @rdschaller @leftbundle @SergioPinski @DrDave01 Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Spfannenschmidt @drjohnm @rdschaller Yes, but that's a different question. The same watch on the same person producing different amplitudes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Spfannenschmidt @drjohnm @rdschaller I have a technical question: https://t.co/KZbuITTSuA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@enzolamberti NEver said flat across the board, rather used "~" meaning within the same order of magnitude. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidboxenhorn @HomegrownJoan2 You will feel instant relief upon takeoff. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) In other words, saying "Covid is an old person problem" hence let's not worry much about it is equivalent to shutting down cardiology, oncology as well as hospitals because they are for the old IN ~ SAME PROPORTION. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@unnamedwill Noise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Few realize that a 30 y.o. has ~ 1/750 chance of death per year. Covid multiplies that! Note 1: If you look at it dynamically, pandemics affect life expectancy in a flat way across the board. Everyone's life expectancy is shortened in ~ the same manner. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Note 1: If you look at it dynamically, pandemics affect life expectancy in a flat way across the board. Everyone's life expectancy is shorted in ~ the same manner. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes. https://t.co/u3btG5Nj9P via @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No, Covid is not an "old person" problem. It kills in proportion of mortality tables, as a multiplication of the local mortality rate. Variations in the multiplier below are mere noise. https://t.co/8Qnrp7RHd5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @NahanniFinanci1 OK, later today. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NahanniFinanci1 You caused me to post wrong hours... People are so upset with me, all in a state of rage ... What should I do to redeem myself ? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NahanniFinanci1 1 PM it turned out — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Sorry was off by an hour. It's on now. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2 PM Newark New Jersey Standard Time, 8 PM Taormina (Eastern Sicily) time, 9 PM Izmir time. — PolitiTweet.org
Ronald Richman @RichmanRonald
Our reading club going through Nassim Nicholas Taleb's (@nntaleb) work Statistical Consequences of Fat tails, conti… https://t.co/gAGIcxaeku
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @RichmanRonald: Reminder: reading club coming up later today! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Belenos70535832 @normonics @daveying99 I deleted the "nonsense" comment but I insist that it is not correct. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics @Belenos70535832 @daveying99 My point is that if you don't like the vaccine approach, you weaken your argument by citing bad statistics or fake news, in place of focusing on a rational argumentation about dynamic trade-offs and comparative policies. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Belenos70535832 @daveying99 @normonics Total nonsense. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Belenos70535832 Do you realize that "natural immunity" comes with a mortality rate? — PolitiTweet.org