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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Sharpe_Actuary @diomavro https://t.co/1jbzVK80ax — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

No. Power law like hell. https://t.co/reg7zdzs5Z https://t.co/V9X9QIc3oj

Posted Nov. 24, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Nonconverging 4th moment then you take the Max/Sum plot. https://t.co/zS97YaIEX1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

No. Power law like hell. https://t.co/V9X9QIc3oj — PolitiTweet.org

Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 @diomavro

I was told by a senior guy that crude oil returns are normally distributed. Anybody have a link?

Posted Nov. 24, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Detecting BS in correlation windows https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Detecting BS in correlation windows. https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021 Just a Typo
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Detecting BS in Correlation Windows https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021 Just a Typo
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

And Remember that @Snowden is a fraud. — PolitiTweet.org

Reuters Fact Check @ReutersFacts

A video of football fans marching in the Austrian city of Graz in 2019 has been miscaptioned online, with social me… https://t.co/QjPSrWtemR

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @wolf_vukovic: Excellent! To sum up: buying 50 ‘stuff’ in 2020, and 50 ‘stuff’ in 2021 is NOT the same as buying 0 ‘stuff’ in 2020 and… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021 Retweet
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidboxenhorn @Extrachelle Looks like you made it home out of Newark. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joelakirsh @drjohnm @Spfannenschmidt @rdschaller @leftbundle @SergioPinski @DrDave01 Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Spfannenschmidt @drjohnm @rdschaller Yes, but that's a different question. The same watch on the same person producing different amplitudes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Spfannenschmidt @drjohnm @rdschaller I have a technical question: https://t.co/KZbuITTSuA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@enzolamberti NEver said flat across the board, rather used "~" meaning within the same order of magnitude. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidboxenhorn @HomegrownJoan2 You will feel instant relief upon takeoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) In other words, saying "Covid is an old person problem" hence let's not worry much about it is equivalent to shutting down cardiology, oncology as well as hospitals because they are for the old IN ~ SAME PROPORTION. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@unnamedwill Noise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Few realize that a 30 y.o. has ~ 1/750 chance of death per year. Covid multiplies that! Note 1: If you look at it dynamically, pandemics affect life expectancy in a flat way across the board. Everyone's life expectancy is shortened in ~ the same manner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Note 1: If you look at it dynamically, pandemics affect life expectancy in a flat way across the board. Everyone's life expectancy is shorted in ~ the same manner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021 Deleted after 8 minutes
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes. https://t.co/u3btG5Nj9P via @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

No, Covid is not an "old person" problem. It kills in proportion of mortality tables, as a multiplication of the local mortality rate. Variations in the multiplier below are mere noise. https://t.co/8Qnrp7RHd5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@digvijoy_c @NahanniFinanci1 OK, later today. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NahanniFinanci1 You caused me to post wrong hours... People are so upset with me, all in a state of rage ... What should I do to redeem myself ? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NahanniFinanci1 1 PM it turned out — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Sorry was off by an hour. It's on now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2 PM Newark New Jersey Standard Time, 8 PM Taormina (Eastern Sicily) time, 9 PM Izmir time. — PolitiTweet.org

Ronald Richman @RichmanRonald

Our reading club going through Nassim Nicholas Taleb's (@nntaleb) work Statistical Consequences of Fat tails, conti… https://t.co/gAGIcxaeku

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @RichmanRonald: Reminder: reading club coming up later today! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021 Retweet
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Belenos70535832 @normonics @daveying99 I deleted the "nonsense" comment but I insist that it is not correct. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@normonics @Belenos70535832 @daveying99 My point is that if you don't like the vaccine approach, you weaken your argument by citing bad statistics or fake news, in place of focusing on a rational argumentation about dynamic trade-offs and comparative policies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Belenos70535832 @daveying99 @normonics Total nonsense. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021 Deleted after 11 minutes
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Belenos70535832 Do you realize that "natural immunity" comes with a mortality rate? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2021