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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@HomegrownJoan2 @EddieRNashton Your approach is impeccable. ~4K is a good estimate. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, this is an example of the tricks used by fraudsters and psychopaths to mislead with risk factors. Instead of looking at risk reduction, they focus on Yes/No with "can". In other words a 99.999% risk reduction maps to "Yes". — PolitiTweet.org
Philip Soos @PhilipSoos
An accurate summary - not something the authorities would want to promote. https://t.co/iBC4QSCYDj
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@scmarco69 @profnfenton I saw very clean data from Israel and the US. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@HuxleysRazor Imbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@itsassou Je bloque les imbeciles comme vous. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @dzviovich Diego must get the @WolframResearch @stephen_wolfram prize for advancing the use of automata to solve real-world problems. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
COUNTERFACTUALS https://t.co/vYQlK0BdI9 — PolitiTweet.org
Jeremy Stunt @JeremyStunt
@nntaleb 'Joe Smith, who helped avoid the disaster of 9/11, died of complications of liver disease.' Vox clamanti… https://t.co/vh39javuEJ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Looking at precise numbers, or rigorous statistical arguments, not antivaccine rants with vague references to obesity or fake numbers abt death rates. [ I have been blocking those who rants on such questions] — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends; the Incerto discusses the notion of blindness to COUNTERFACTUALS, effects not seen thanks to a risk reduction measure. As an exercise in empirical rigor missing from the discussion, let's look at: 1) How many lives were saved by vaccines, 2) Morbidities reduced. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeandallie Yes but in that age group almost all could be vaccinated, a huge protection — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Fake news. ~7000 die on average. 80,000/day means extinction. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Yes there are power grabs by governments. But they happen in a delayed, progressive and passive way with regularory recapture, revolving doors, etc. The fellow below gets it. https://t.co/vEOvRAaui1 — PolitiTweet.org
constans @constans
I think most conservatives and libertarians misunderstand how “power grabs” and “big government” works. It’s not th… https://t.co/Tzf95gJS71
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GrantSSC @SS_strength What's their test by comparison? You seem to train great-grandmothers with heavier weights. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The Army has introduced deadlifts in its new Army Combat Fitness Test (ACFT). But ...140lbs & with both hands. And running at 10 ½ m/minutes. https://t.co/iCuRSoVKBh — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@epoz Imbecile, you are not getting the courtesy issue. And you should go read someone else. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) I am blocking every sophist who responds "but this is a majority rule" or some non sequitur. My point is not about the optimality of the referendum system; it's that the vote contradicts claims by conspiracy psychopaths that: "vaccines cards = government grab". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@epoz It is COURTESY when the author has not been dead for 500 years and it is not public domain. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @justinowings @Nole8708 @normonics @stevain Yes ~ means almost — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @imleslahdin Even historically it is not that correct. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @imleslahdin Do you realize that you are not arguing but nitpicking? Being the 2nd oldest makes no difference to the argument. Nitpicking is worse than being wrong. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@justinowings @Nole8708 @normonics @stevain ~EVERY canton voted in favor. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@brunoedelbrot Have their own circles. Stay home on their farms. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@notjosh1991 I block idiots. Sorry. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Citizens of the oldest current democracy and best functioning one, ultra-localist Switzerland, voted with a large majority in favor of vaccine passes. This weakens the circulating conspiracy theory that vaccines are *just* a power grab by big government. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ErnestBoehm @NahanniFinanci1 @Jac5Connor @paulportesi @trishankkarthik @IAmMicMars @hugowiz Try mixing butter and black olives on pita roll. My favorite. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Jed_Trott ...and me. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @justinamash: Stop selling weapons to Saudi Arabia. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Jed_Trott Throat cancer Lip cancer. Freud, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@epoz Can you please explain why I need to *credit* a 16th century painting with a public domain picture from wiki? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@pinebrookcap @mikeharrisNY Lopezdeprado is a BS vendor, v. weak analytically. — PolitiTweet.org
