Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

YEAR IN REVIEW 2021-3 Pandemic killed >1m in the US (adj >reporting). Instead of working on substitutes to gov for systemic risks, Covidopaths are *now* claiming "govt grab". It's like refusing firefighters *during* a fire on grounds of libertarianism. https://t.co/KkbW0MEQxt — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RowBeptilian Go put your real name and photo here and (assuming you are a human being) you will be treated like a human being. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Iyadboustany @karimbitar @SagiSINNO Verbalism, in these cognitively impaired "science" Po circles, is still unrecognized as a form of intellectual fraud. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RowBeptilian Why don't you f*ck off and go find out by yourself? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joe_shipman @davidboxenhorn Note ALL numbers are underestimated on long list. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joe_shipman @davidboxenhorn Right-wing governments in a liberal country with institutions. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@gnuseibeh One hitch. We need to separate the data for the vaccinated and the reinfected. Not done properly yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

This is getting very bizarre. Her kids called him "Uncle F" as in Jeffrey ? ----- Epstein Girlfriend Dubin Says Her Kids Called Him ‘Uncle F’ https://t.co/Pordu8HQWQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@resayiroon @davidboxenhorn Moron, it still outperformed AND China cut it down then. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidboxenhorn These are reported. The Economist has a better estimate. https://t.co/FA4o2kFPqp — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

A rigorous scientific claim is the maximum ignorance probability that is compatible with (i.e., constrained by) *all* current information. In other words it accommodates both facts *and* absence of evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @birdxi1988: This clears my mind against conspiracy and extreme paranoia — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@aryaman2020 @samijiries @matt_boot_ Computational linguistics did. Not linguistics. That's the point. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@oldlevantine Salemtak! — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BldrInvstTech @CliffordAsness Yes you are getting Jensens' inequality you must compute correlation piecewise, not globally. It is a ratio. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BldrInvstTech @CliffordAsness Try this from supp material I am not sure about your program. Ignore the 2nd moment vs variance. https://t.co/LE72dKEL2X — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BrechtKerckhove Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

YEAR IN REVIEW 2021 -2 Wrote a paper (accepted) on how Correlation cannot be used in portfolio construction, a follow up on my problem with the pseudoquant BS by @CliffordAsness and Ilmanen. https://t.co/Va4bqNbsFK — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

YEAR IN REVIEW 2021 -1 Went from "maximum ignorance decision" to the computable concept of "maximum ignorance probability" [also matches the results of the 2018 paper on election forecasting under arbitrage.] #Entropy [Note: @Snowden is a fraud] — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @michaelmina_lab: Dear @POTUS (& @PressSec) An ambitious, but simple plan to convert holidays into an time to REDUCE #COVID19 1) Give… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@jaffer_ali1 @EdmondShami @jkelkar @GuruAnaerobic There are no business models that aren't statistical, hence nondeterministic, unlike physics. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@samijiries @matt_boot_ So your claim is that linguistics has changed since Jellinek? Anyway this is the kind of stuff I prefer to discuss in scientific journals not with politicized trolls (not you, the other) on Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ShadiBartsch @opinion_joe The correct form would has been: "Dicunt primum non nocere, Nocera", no? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@samijiries For the specific, I can cover later in some details some misclassifications (I am away from my library). For the general, statisticians have had problems w/ rigor in linguistics; Jelinek's quote: "Every time I fire a linguist, the performance of the speech recognizer goes up". — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@samijiries Case in point: clearly some people outside epidemiology, namely mathematical stats have busted claims made by epidemiologists. Likewise same probabilists can bust claims made by linguists given the low scientific standards behind some linguistic claims. https://t.co/hmdufLWAEc — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hugowiz Your graphs only have information when you separate the vaccinated from unvaccinated. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @fermatslibrary: The shortest paper ever published in a "serious" math journal had just 2 words and 2 drawings and was written by John C… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@jkelkar @jaffer_ali1 @GuruAnaerobic Please don't involve me in a thread on models full of people who have never seen a model. OK? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ancientorigins Germaine is feminine. Must be Saint Germain as he called himself. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@michaelmina_lab Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org