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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@gnuseibeh So it is about half! https://t.co/AFrfDmccW2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@VaeTaN96 Fi shwayy tefniss 3endo. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@J_Husak @AshleyRindsberg No. Check the economist computations. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AshleyRindsberg No, no the same issue, and excess death > 1.1 mil — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, a question. The article misses a central point: what is the base rate of the Common Cold + Flu in NY? In other words the current ratio of Covid to other ailments? ---- Is That Sniffle a Cold? Or Is It Covid? https://t.co/oyW6D4y7zr — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MaxAbrahms His comments on The Black Swan missed the idea of fat tails. Totally. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I can confirm! — PolitiTweet.org
Return to the Mediterranean🏺 @Return2Med
I am Taleb. https://t.co/JGxwC95LiI
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jaffer_ali1 The idea is to do so now ag. reduced sentence. Otherwise she would be doing it for free, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Return2Med I confirm! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
YEAR IN REVIEW 2021 -6 https://t.co/GCBAZgLQy1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Completed the #BedofProcrustes, 3d Ed. Here are the additional aphorisms. Please do not tell my publishers. 1 /2 https://t.co/SpUEva1lTv
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Javier_DanielAR Exccccccellent! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Actually there is an [a possible?] extension of a theorem for R's Zeta to express the Lerch as K-continuous fractions. https://t.co/B1YXDMgkqA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Inoculation is #Lindy. So is explicit vaccination. So is testing (but visual not via labs). Let's consider that pandemics are the costs of settlement/urbanism [something called civilization], as well as commercial connectivity [something called economic betterment]. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is the 1st generation that's heedless of systemic disease [yet connectivity compounds risk]. Non #Lindy: all ancient & religious texts advocate early drastic overreaction. Ironically, 1st generation to passively accept govt interference w/private matters (Education, labor). — PolitiTweet.org
Stanislav Yurin @stan_yurin
@nntaleb @JamesMarsh79 "[In 1888], yellow fever quarantines [in Florida] were so harsh, that for three month all tr… https://t.co/x1b4ETbogW
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@oldlevantine @GassanKiami @mal0503 @henrizaq @ZoeChehab @FaresSouaid @michelmoawad @MarxabaOfficial @WGebran @AdoniLabanon @lebaneselingui1 @xerraas @CgGeagea @jumainrink @Hraoui17 @maronitas_es We will know more soon, but not quite: ANATOLIAN genes (Armenian plateau)... same as Greek Islands. Look at food, music and dabké. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
So far, very close. There is no theorem for the K-continuous fraction for the Lerch transc. https://t.co/GKQXoV2G9i — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PaulSkallas THe effect seems to be bubkes! From the supp material. .14 mmol is OK, but really... https://t.co/xy4uOp26L5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bwolman @jodiecongirl I blocked the fraud. But it is not uncommon in pseudosciences like psycho to conflate expected payoff and frequency. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jflier @NAChristakis @Maratosflier Worth the trip! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jodiecongirl @bwolman You are even more clueless than I thought. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
YEAR IN REVIEW 2021 -5b Extreme value theory for heart rates; the variable follows a well behaved distribution. https://t.co/JKCLTiNGHB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
CARDIOLOGY/PROBABILITY DU JOUR Max HR is not a number but a distribution in the tails "for n beats". Fitting an Ex… https://t.co/nUBMWfKTYV
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
YEAR IN REVIEW 2021 -5a Did some quantitative cardiology, for HR (heart rates), HR variability, blood pressure, Mean Arteria pressure, saw cardio requires a log transform. https://t.co/scq3v1zmjy — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
YEAR IN REVIEW 2021- 4 Spent >3m in Lebanon during 2021. Once you take it as it is not as it should be, and avoid interactions with geopolitical BS vendors or diaspora moaners, it is monstrously OK. Helped w/my ancestral village's localism. https://t.co/ugFt2lEtkO — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My Dublin friend @davidmcw is in Beirut. While diaspora LOSERS complain about geopolitics and power outages, he ju… https://t.co/2Ouscf1NWa
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jodiecongirl @bwolman You seem very clueless about what false positive means under fat tails. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jflier @NAChristakis @Maratosflier I meant retaliation... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jflier @NAChristakis @Maratosflier No worries. I have 4 bottles left of that Elivette 2008 but I won't invite @NAChristakis to share as punishment. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 60 years ago — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrMichaelBonner No no no. You need a breakdown vaccinated/un before any inference. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Iyadboustany @karimbitar @SagiSINNO Nothing to do with Christians. They demonize localism in an incoherent way. And they promote fascism. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
For a rainy afternoon. Could be difficult, could be easy. — PolitiTweet.org
級数bot @infseriesbot
https://t.co/upFKdrzEXd
