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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MShehadeh1 @sapinker Check the first lecture on STD and norm L1. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@tknical_martial @sapinker There is one in rhe series. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LUmutoniwase @joe_shipman @ofer_rubin @diomavro Car fatalities are <40k with very low variance. Not a point. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@claudes24060374 Noise, their numbers are small. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Porkchop_EXP @thetreasurer4 The Economist has a rigorous compilation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DEBUNKING DU JOUR Covid Sociopaths are insultingly naive statistically. They are trying to make a difference between "dying WITH" and "dying FROM" Covid. But *excess death* put losses from Covid, given absence of other causes, at >1 million, ~27% above the 820K est. — PolitiTweet.org
ZUBY: @ZubyMusic
What a result. The difference between 'with' and 'from' revealed.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@lawzinaj The same would apply to 3alamin, no? Instead of 3awalem. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trading_noise @sapinker Vol 3 of the Technical Incerto is on non-Gauss Markov situations, along with higher dimensional issues ... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) OK, OK, ~ 56% of Republicans are vaccinated. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Someone (almost) ruined the joke with a correction. Ian conflated % of unvaccinated who were republicans with % or republicans who were unvaccinated. Turns out the ratio of vaccinated republicans is higher than 40%, ~44%. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman Next time there is a fire, and you see the crowd running away FROM it, you must provide evidence of having a brain by running INTO it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@niemand108 @sapinker Excellent! This is the basis of Extreme Value Theory. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Unlike the consensus, I view this as excellent news: 40% of Republicans have functioning brains. — PolitiTweet.org
ian bremmer @ianbremmer
Unvaccinated in US today: 60% of Republicans 17% of Democrats By far the most politicized response in the G7.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Vindobonensis @sapinker Measure theory is good for proofs, not for insights. It confuses the novice. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY @sapinker Another lecture. All intelligent tests reject normality. Must use Gumbel Max-to-Sum for moments. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@adad8m @MrHonner @JSEllenberg You know that SITG != predictions. Must include payoffs. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, any request? Forthcoming: - ENTROPY [ one very short nontechnical on informational entropy, one more technical on differential entropy, Mutual Information, etc. ] - VIOLENCE DID NOT DROP [ short, ~2m, how @sapinker is very good at BS] https://t.co/uaCk3vMbg0 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY @amalmerzouk @GMarchbanks @kevinschawinski She is implying crypto laser eyes' routines of giving yours truly some harassment . — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mrtbollen Psychopaths like you find their twist in every event. You are disgusting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dead_kat_bounce @mrtbollen How can it be signaling if it irritates imbeciles like you? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JeanRobinMedia C'est exactement le même Dieu, avec exactement the même nom. Il n'acceptent pas la trinité et la divinité du fils. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@scmarco69 @JamesMarsh79 Actually, it looks like ALL ages. But let's wait to confirm with Omicron's pediatric effects. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Fingers crossed: Omicron is still acting as a first (sometimes second) booster for the vaccinated. So far. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Mina @michaelmina_lab
On a tentatively positive note: Despite a 153% INCREASE in cases We have a 7% DECREASE in COVID related deaths… https://t.co/zpdMBgNjly
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SocialWealth @exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC Yes — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC Next week, how about 10 by 10? We need to figure out the optimal weight. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC Only witness is @TMessi_1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC People don´t realize that, for two years, I have been >20lbs lighter than my pictures. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC Same here. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@exergiovanni @otrasenda_AC 25 lbs? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@realChrisBrunet No. He is known as a fraud in his own profession. — PolitiTweet.org
