Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

That thing, and all the other stuff #Ruble with one another. It is perhaps a condition with #Nato and #Russia, with respect to #KazakhstanProtest and many many #Ukraine so many I can't believe, #Kiev and elsewhere. Maybe #Kremlin maybe not. And then it will all work out. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@fredzannarbor That thing, and the other stuff #Ruble with one another. It is perhaps a condition with #Nato and #Russia, with respect to #KazakhstanProtest and many many #Ukraine so many I can't believe. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@M14CL What's a bot? You must be certainly mistaken. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

#Москва #Кремль #Киев #Київ #NaToCorona #FatTony — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

#Москва #Кремль #Киев #Київ #Snowden #Nato — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I broke my rule against shorting #BTC (too volatile, risky to sell naked); I went short a couple of months ago. Meaning I was both long & short during 2020. #Rouble #Ruble #Ukraine #Украина #Україна #казахстан #Putin #Nato — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@TCP_HQ He hired the Ghassanids as a client state to fight the Sarracens. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

CLAVUM CLAVO PELLERE I apologize for accounts blocked by error but any one who follows a troll account or likes its comments gets blocked by an Eastern European bot. As Herakles understood, you can only use the mob to fight the mob. Stay away from suspicious accounts. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) The problem with the spreading of bad statistics as by that crank @stkirsch is the production of too much noise. Noise drowns signal. Should a real, statistically significant, problem arises with vaccines, it could end up being ignored. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BobgonzaleBob @INArteCarloDoss Not power walking. Hill climbing plus stairs plus cycling plus running. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I have no problem w/those who refuse vaccines on grounds of unseen risk (I then rationally argue with them abt comparative risks of Covid). But I have one w/BS artists like @stkirsch who use statistics to delude. Bad probability is like jarring music, brings physical revulsion. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The explanation is along the classification "Mediocristan" vs. "Extremistan". Everyboby can get it except for academic bullshitters in social science, (and not just @sapinker). The fattest tails are 1) epidemics, 2) wars. The rest pales in comparison. https://t.co/OdgrBWjDFN — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@holland_tom Happy birthday & we MUST break bread in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) The insightful @MilenaRodban was in the audience, reporting some enthusiasm by students coupled with dismissal by Political "Science" professors members of the faculty like that idiot @dandrezner. https://t.co/ECOavkVHjx — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@AdrianNinodeRi3 @Confusezeus Just added aerobic. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Warning in 2015 at the Fletcher School (with @Confusezeus): "The only risk to worry about is an epidemic. For the first time in history it will fly on British Air." [Note: lost 25 lbs since (luckily before Covid). Heavy weightlifting causes one to overeat.] https://t.co/0SLuGkccUC — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@EddieRNashton @JamesMarsh79 There are efforts at "soft power". A completely different game. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @LePoint: Pourquoi la violence religieuse n’a rien à voir avec la théologie. Pour @nntaleb, nous avons tendance à attribuer les conflits… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@samfreedom Explain. Litvinenko felt sick nearly immediately. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JamesMarsh79 Google translate works better Russian -> Engl than the other way. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

And the "troll farm" stuff has increased by > one order of magnitude since 2015. https://t.co/Uf5lZGxf5O — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) Notes a- Error: I meant "nuclear winter", not cold winter. b- And, no North Macedonia has nothing to do with the Soviet Union; it's where the floating IPs are located (as well as, for some reason in Kossovo). c- Trolls appear to have reading comprehension.(Low-skilled job.) — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Disinformation doesn't work with big lies (high noise discredits the source). Experts manipulate groups then spread memes, like the "cold winter" in 80s (from an illusory "paper" by the KGB who owned German anti-nuclear groups & played media scientist Karl Sagan like a violin). — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @nntaleb: Many are still unaware that many blonde women from Texas with names like Carol or Joanna fighting vaccines on Twitter are in r… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RepDLesko @dzviovich — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RabinTofsla Someone who writes "blaming Russia for ALL American problems" is either too unethical or too stupid to read my books. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RabinTofsla Perhaps it did not hit you that you should not be reading my books ? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SMKombarov Excellent. Same as Kelly criterion. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@digvijoy_c @hjluks It is hard to tweet and cycle. You get distracted and slow down. It is easy to lift => tweet => lift =>... — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Some report of troll farms by MIT Tech Review. But there is tons of stuff coming. We'll have discussions on @Snowden soon. https://t.co/ilpA9soTO9 — PolitiTweet.org