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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The same antivaxx noodle @mdvex22 can teach us some more stuff about random analogies & flaws in reasoning. [I select him because this is not a young covidopath living in his mother's basement but a British venture capitalist]. https://t.co/xU38zhfpEY — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Driver @mdvex22
It’s like being savaged by a dead sheep. You wonder we he bothered unblocking me. https://t.co/m7gXrIpKnQ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@iwangulenko @jaffer_ali1 Buffett only invest in pple paranoid about cash squeezes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jaffer_ali1 You did not meet them because they are bankrupt --or dead. You don't eliminate uncertainty, you eliminate the risk of permanent ruin. Different game. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Turns out Antifragile predicted 10 years ago that idiots would misinterpret it claiming that all interventions are bad. Science is hard. https://t.co/s4T5uhAkTF — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hugowiz Ugo, it is the MOST EFFECTIVE way to save lives, all other measures are tiny in comparison. It is just like chemotherapy. Not 100% effective, just the most effective. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"Central State intervention is like medicine. You don't use it to just use it, for marginal betterment. But when it saves lives, you must use it. And it must be always there and prepared to serve such a purpose." In other words, the State's central role is for tail risks. — PolitiTweet.org
tib @tib
@TFestenberg @nntaleb @nntaleb has often wrote that the state has a role in extreme situations. The same goes for i… https://t.co/lznoDjuXri
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Turns out, just as Covidopaths misrepresent Antifragile, they don't get Von Mises: VM:" [liberalism] certainly does not regard the State as an evil, or as a necessary evil." It just wants to limit the state from ownership of means of production. VM stood in favor of the draft. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ishirubi @Jed_Trott There is a difference between caution and paranoia, pathological distrust. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ishirubi @Jed_Trott Mistrust ... data? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The polarity is not so much about vaccines. This duality is largely about anecdote vs. evidence. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@INArteCarloDoss This inflation in NOT a 1970s wage thing. It is asset driven and only asset deflation will solve it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Conversation with @yaneerbaryam on Covid, with some disagreements. https://t.co/pVDsCtCogD — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@drjasonfung @DharmsHeer You will see. He won this war. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Respect for Neil Young. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AssalehAmer @yaneerbaryam Tomorrow! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Carey23Mark The kind of umbrella crap "he doesn't like my charlatan heroes, hence he hates everybody.." — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Carey23Mark @pauld198 Fucking idiot, I DO NOT SAY THAT about everyone. Only charlatans. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@nneal25 @mdvex22 The reverse of this. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3 years ago. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Put me on the record: Jordan Peterson @jordanbpeterson is a charlatan. https://t.co/t7FWVThsvM
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@alexfeinberg1 No. Like car accidents. Lln — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Thin tailed but still risky — PolitiTweet.org
Daynex @daynex_
How does @nntaleb reason about tail event risk from nuclear energy? What are the conclusions?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrMichaelBonner They want to rediscover East Med Orth diets without your help! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
NOISE/SIGNAL DU JOUR Disinformation isn't done w/FALSE information, but via PARTIAL information. That idiot @mdvex22 distracts you w/anecdote: SOMEONE SOMEWHERE unable to make pronouncements on risks/benefits of Vaccines, not on aggregate arguments by scientific decision-makers. — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Driver @mdvex22
The dam is cracking, holy shit. https://t.co/DfifKASTKx
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @bukele Don't invest if you don't know what you are doing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@VlVEK @bukele No. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
When you short a bubble (or trade in general), focus ONLY on potential losses. Keep imagining bitcoin going to 100K, 500K, etc. before deflating & trade accordingly. That is if you want to survive. The exact opposite of Carlos (in #FooledbyRandomness), represented by @bukele — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) I am flattish #BTC (tiny residual).
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jimtalksdata MSTR is not a good short at lower values. Bondholders take disproportionately more risk. It is a good short at higher values. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@fox_0x You trade with the waves. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @byzantinepower: You build stronger bonds in meeting one person for five mins than in meeting five people once. - @nntaleb ✍️ Scala Pol… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) I am flattish #BTC (tiny residual). — PolitiTweet.org