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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Expression of anger by the Brotherhood of Sociopaths, a congregation of vicious kooks, small-time quacks, & sinister misfits, conflicted as they used Antifragile as their manifesto (w/o reading it). Sinister? Group included serial killer @roman_mcclay https://t.co/ZI6Wi6qWSQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@riachi_jean Hayda min Takhet Procrustes: L 3alam bi washwsho l 7a2i2a w bi 3ayyto l kzb. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@peterAttiaMD, sorry, I forgot to tag you. Can you please provide us with the data/source? The problem is that the risk factor for Covid is over a period Dt (exposure) & conditioned on exposure while other are spread throughout the year. Also cannot mix vaxx & unvaxxed in RF. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @trishankkarthik @DrKellyVictory How to smell the rat: some numbers are volatile, so you can go from 1 to 3 from sampling error. But NOT cancer as a broader category. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@StoicAbsurdist @DrKellyVictory What kind of question is this? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Can we see the data, Dr @DrKellyVictory ? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@peterAttia, sorry, I forgot to tag you. Can you please provide us with the data/source? The problem is that the risk factor for Covid is over a period Dt (exposure) & conditioned on exposure while other are spread throughout the year. Also cannot mix vaxx & unvaxxed in RF. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Is it conditional on getting Covid? Can we see the data? — PolitiTweet.org
Peter Attia @PeterAttiaMD
If you want perspective on how how people <35 die in the US, relative to COVID, take a look. It would be nice if we… https://t.co/RoCLYc…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/AnaTbvZLIY — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Finally, Takhet Procrustes in Lebanese, translated by @seasonedcosmos and @HsenAndil. The project is on.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@michaelmina_lab Congrats! Mina is a common name in Koura. Are you from Amioun? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
And I meant it: so far 2,170 minutes of exercise in Jan. And a great deal of busted misquotes: people think that the base rate, Bayes' Formula, and the Simpson's paradox are just narratives or opinions. #BustMisinformation, #DeleteSpotify. https://t.co/24dWkerkRG — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Finally, Takhet Procrustes in Lebanese, translated by @seasonedcosmos and @HsenAndil. The project is on. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@oriordankevin @persewin Troll account, Kevin. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Mehdi_IR_DC: I LOVE it when @nntaleb pisses off his fans in favor of the truth. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Why pundits need to take classes in statistics to be explained the elementary notion of standard error. The less charitable version: pundits are pundits because they can't do science. — PolitiTweet.org
David Frum @davidfrum
1-6 inches of snow predicted tomorrow? Can you imagine if any other profession allowed itself a similar range? "Yo… https://t.co/9WlJ5dh6f8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dzviovich 1 Bekaa Valley, 2003 1 Brunello di Montalcino, 2016 1 Chateauneuf du Pape 1 Morgon (colder temp) https://t.co/aH9QMO8NdB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: Turns out Antifragile predicted 10 years ago that idiots would misinterpret it claiming that all interventions are bad. Scien… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Hint: Euler's continued fraction formula for e^x — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
1) Boycotting Spotify is NOT censorship: YOU are not the state. 2) Primum Non Nocere = Saving lives precedes any other consideration. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
SAVE LIVES, BOYCOTT SPOTIFY #DeleteSpotify #Spotifydeleted — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Continued Fraction Du Jour — PolitiTweet.org
級数bot @infseriesbot
https://t.co/ESCEIZJGfg
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"The devil can cite Scripture for his purpose" — PolitiTweet.org
Bret Weinstein 🇨🇦🚛🚚🚛🚚 @BretWeinstein
Correct. https://t.co/LQthrJtrYi
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My new routine 2022: 1- Do at least 1 math puzzle every day. 2- Workout 1-2 hours every day. 3- Discover 1 good wine every 3 days, and... 4- Twice a day, fight STATISTICAL disinformation to save lives from Covidopaths. Joe Rogan et al. are KILLING people with disinformation!!! — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan Anderson, MD, FACC @NAndersonMD
@SchrodingersG @nntaleb Here's a picture to help understand base rate bias. Thanks to @dr_kkjetelina for this graph… https://t.co/e3jxcKtQxM
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@eastslidah Still age diff can cause Simpson's paradox... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
MISINFORMATION ALERT From the information HE is showing, 62% of the dead come from the 8 % unvaccinated for that age group, making the unvaccinated >18.7 times more likely to die. That does NOT count the boosted. Base rates count. — PolitiTweet.org
zerohedge @zerohedge
Nearly 40% Of All Illinois COVID Deaths In The Last Month Are Breakthroughs. What Gives? https://t.co/WCo7wpbGC4
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Misinformation is killing people. Primum non nocere. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@amalmerzouk @jaffer_ali1 We call it "clipping", i.e. make it residual. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@drmiguelmarcos @calum_darroch @hugowiz So far >50% decrease in transmission, pending on booster, Dec 2021. Waiting for more Omicron details. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hugowiz @hodlmybreathe Ugo, sei d'onore. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PredragBrajovic @mdvex22 Pedrag, you are correct. There are benefits, but not everywhere. — PolitiTweet.org