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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 Where is this? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Spfannenschmidt Voila. Explicit solutions are elaborate because of the probability of > 2 kids matching in the first set. https://t.co/tiOspRdLIb — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jaffer_ali1 @financequant @davidboxenhorn People clustered around RWRI, around the wrong criterion. Many misfits thought it was about contrarianism rather than just pragmatic rigor. It's the difference between someone with a broccoli problem who says no to everything institutional and another who is more analytical. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jaffer_ali1 @financequant @davidboxenhorn RWRI is NOT a community but an analytics/research program. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @golchha_J Which book? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Spfannenschmidt: MATH QUIZ DU JOUR: - My mother had 11 kids - Her mother had 11 kids What are the odds that 2 of my mother’s kids share… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The Central Problem: Omicron is vastly more contagious than Delta, and idiots miss the COUNTERFACTUAL: we cannot naively claim how much masking slowed it down. Saying: "look we have a lot of death IN SPITE of masking" is total BS because we don't know how many WITHOUT masking. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad As you can verify with his Gadness and yours truly, Lebanese men, on the other hand... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
DEPARTMENT OF LOGICAL FALLACIES 1) Makes policies for Alpha/Delta that turn out to be insufficient for Omicron (2 mnths) look retrospectively bad. 2) Pbms is NOT masks: Omicron is vastly more contagious than Delta. 3) Conflates doesn't work w/insufficient. https://t.co/VuIStd0PiA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@oldlevantine @Iyadboustany @tamuke06 Renan pensait que la pensée "sémite" était inférieure. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NahanniFinanci1 @vincentrcrd It is never too late. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @vincentrcrd: After reading some findings on psychology, I can understand why @nntaleb dislikes psychologists a lot. Methodological pro… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) As Fat Tony would say: "walking and walking up hills are two different tings*". * tings = things (New Jersey) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My Own Return to the Mediterranean Mostly: a lot of vertical drop. https://t.co/6c2m2itAh8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Usually parties come to some agreement by rapid convergence; the rest is filling-in the details. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Heuristic: any negotiation, business or political, that lasts longer than one hour (excl. meals) is no longer a negotiation; it's more like an attempt to verbally resuscitate a dead horse. [The Iran nuclear negotiations lated 1000s of hours] https://t.co/DE5QWKFXPr — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @DrEricDing: 👇Maybe if you weren’t so obsessed about credentialism & didn’t get so naively misled by your holy “infection control specia… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@danchojordanov2 @Abrams12Abrams @super_cool9 The point is that ENDPOINTS are so visible that you can't use your money. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JMoVS @ViolaPriesemann @DirkBrockmann @m_wiedermann What I found is that the Log of heart rate tends to be normally distributed, meaning that one should only do regressions, etc. on the Log. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@s6vm_ @ggalexsava @AlbahariRicardo Is it the numerical approximation or is it really a problem of limit? BTW I corrected the first equation but last one stays the same. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Aesop1987 Central — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Fixed an error. https://t.co/XPloVqTOP9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/dnY0AdfUYq — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AlbahariRicardo Actually same result, fixed the first equation. https://t.co/WqxICb5kiT — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Can be computed under maximum ignorance probability. https://t.co/WG9eesM5r9 — PolitiTweet.org
Mehdi @Mehdi_IR_DC
in our hospital 97 ICU beds all occupied by non-vxd, 97 out of 97. Assuming equal chance of hospitalization (p) for… https://t.co/tdcvjo4Tpc
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Utopianism is optimization without constraints. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
QUANT FINANCE 1 - Why We Never Use the Black Scholes Equation, 1 https://t.co/amuMSVQfSV — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AlbahariRicardo So far: https://t.co/PSiRVZdM6U — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Workout du Jour [with potential to generalize to p \pi n] — PolitiTweet.org
級数bot @infseriesbot
https://t.co/2byyAInh5c
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The fact that "money" CANNOT escape the BTC system (at no endpoint) makes it pretty much potentially government owned. — PolitiTweet.org
