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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@PaulSkallas Not if you lift weight! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The detail: https://t.co/EzcRGVkkk3 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR A very very interesting problem. @Octonion is one of the most natural mathematicians on Twitter. Perhaps the most elegant probability distribution is the Arcsin law (Feller). And it fits! How? I don't know; it just fits! https://t.co/eDGGfyXdpk — PolitiTweet.org
Christopher D. Long @octonion
What is sin(1)+sin(2)+sin(3)+... ?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR A very very interesting problem. @Octonion is one of the most natural mathematicians on Twitter. Perhaps the most elegant probability distribution is the Arcsin law (Feller). And it fits! How? I don't know; it just fits! https://t.co/KxqUpubdCw — PolitiTweet.org
Christopher D. Long @octonion
What is sin(1)+sin(2)+sin(3)+... ?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion It's an ArcSine Law! https://t.co/GNx8V62dcq — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SrinivasR1729 @octonion Got even better, the exact bounds, reposted. Was obvious but was somehow diverted... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion https://t.co/u0ONq4EJZt — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion A most interesting function. Found the bounds but not the probability of the k at the max. https://t.co/HfDlwWNOeH — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
When Popper is wrong, he is still right. — PolitiTweet.org
TakingHayekSeriously🧨 @FriedrichHayek
Logical Empiricism is essentially ‘pluralist’ whereas Karl Popper is essentially ‘absolutist’ – remember he thinks… https://t.co/noZBDbHvJR
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@becauseivy Less wrong — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is perhaps the worst humiliation. Vladimir Vladimirovich was imagining himself walking around in Kiev in March 2022, just as Hilter and Churchill toured Paris and Berlin, respectively, the type of thing that makes a conquest a conquest. — PolitiTweet.org
Velina Tchakarova @vtchakarova
Biden meets Zelensky in Kyiv, Ukraine, ahead of the first anniversary of Russia’s war against Ukraine. Strong signa… https://t.co/OvjynUkXqz
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You don't do well by trying to be right; it is impossible for humans. You do well by figuring out when you're wrong faster than others do. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No, @TalebWisdom, I was attributing this to Parkinson. I am not the author of the original quote. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's Wisdom @TalebWisdom
"If you need something urgently done, give the task to the busiest (or second busiest) person in the office." - Nas… https://t.co/JkFhAqoSsa
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion https://t.co/y3jz3SJDGG — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@gbponz Not the same. I am talking about transmission performance & diseases, not transmission of genes. Your children are part of you, a different story. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion Actually the bounds appear to converge! You can actually get the sum in closed form! https://t.co/Eh0dAJOfo6 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion Doesn't seem to converge but the pattern must be detectable. https://t.co/mmpBsA5Pc5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) It is remarkable how many in the racemonging sphere are not getting it. If a trait shows heritability in some environments & not others, then one needs to integrate rho ACROSS all (weighted) possible states. # of fingers & size of feet are heritable ACROSS ~all environments. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@octonion Because the periodicity is linked to discrete increments, not a multiple of \pi, the max and min ALSO keep increasing because of a residual. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @GrecoLevantines: Today 160 prominent Lebanese individuals attended the 9th anniversary celebration of the Romaian Cultural Society in B… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Typos, \omega became mysteriously p. https://t.co/NhngQrZnNO — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@elagabalus__ And there is no causation here. Just statistical correlations. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@alexbilz This is even more basic. They claim to be unconditional from a conditional rho. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@elagabalus__ You did not understand my point. It suffices to have an environmental variations. I block idiotic trolls --nothing personal. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR Showing , actually PROVING that the twin studies (beloved by racemongers and eugenists) overestimate heredity. Simply heredity in one environment may be 0 in another environment (or a shifting one). https://t.co/6md6APIJFn — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
PROBABILITY DU JOUR Showing , actually PROVING that the twin studies (beloved by racemongers and eugenists) overestimate heredity. Simply heredity in one environment may be 0 in another environment (or a shifting one). https://t.co/rPnImlb4xs — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @DrMichaelBonner I have read Arabic in translation to speed things up. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @holdengraber: 📖 UMBERTO ECO Died on this day, in 2016 “The writer Umberto Eco belong[ed] to that small class of scholars who are enc… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@HollandPeiper Paul Veyne learning fromhim — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
BS Debunking du Jour: Camille Paglia — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrMichaelBonner A bit of bullshit by Paglia (who is a bullshitter): "Greek and Roman political history -- about wh… https://t.co/ugJXPYwuc5
