Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghayad same w Greeks — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@smines18 Sorry but I block idiots. Nothing personal. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @perfiliev: @nntaleb @caitoz Thank you, Nassim! Tried that with ZeroHedge: https://t.co/azxdLwWr82 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Hannibal ad portas. So it turns out #BTC is not a hedge against inflation, not a hedge ag. oil squeezes, not a hedge ag. stocks. And, of course, Bitcoin is not a hedge against geopolitical events --actually the exact opposite. A perfect sucker game during low interest rates. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Hannibal ad portas. So it turns out #BTC is a hedge against inflation, not a hedge against oil squeezes, not a hedge against stocks. And, of course, Bitcoin is not a hedge against geopolitical events --actually the exact opposite. A perfect sucker game. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ThisIsRajMD @DrDamluji @AlanHeldman @djc795 All same direction. Look like that on the screen because of the slope. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DrDamluji @ThisIsRajMD @AlanHeldman @djc795 How often have you seen 5 measurement errors go in one direction? p= 2^-5, no? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@QifaNabki @PeraMuzesi Haydé! — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@financequant Yes but reversal of aortic dilation has not yet been documented. Which makes it strange given this counterexample. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DrDamluji @AlanHeldman @djc795 @thaiscoutinhoCV An additional data point: the patient took telmisartan over the period. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DrDamluji @thaiscoutinhoCV @djc795 @AlanHeldman Dr Coutinho, could it be that the initial dilation was temporary ? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DrDamluji @thaiscoutinhoCV @djc795 @AlanHeldman Yes, but 7 standard deviations using the same operator/same equipment. One way to confirm is to repeat with the other center that initially validated the 42mm to see if 38mm is found there as well. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@dzviovich @AssalehAmer @geoffreydgraham Even sadder is the TRILLION in military expenditure, but waiting 13 months to implement PCR testing at border. Protection of borders is what the expenditure aims at. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@PrineshR @HartJedd @Edbuggie We are not talking about dissection here (mild then normal) but the POSSIBILITY of a reversal. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

A Conundrum in #Cardiology: Is it possible to (nonsurgically) reverse dilatation in the ascending aorta, or is this a statistical fluke ? #CardioTwitter https://t.co/cz0wTkJ0UC — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@geoffreydgraham We know that governments are incompetent, make mistakes, etc. The question is: 1) is there an alternative in the context of a pandemic to SAVE lives, 2) it is better to propose and work on implementing alternatives before the fire (or potentially after) than during. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@saarwilf I agree. But it is up to the patient to do the via negativa. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) The point is that for balance we absoluly need vaxx skeptics as an alarm system. The problem is that they have been dominated by quacks, lunatics & rejects with a deadly combination of high impact & low credibility; they won't be believed in case they get something right. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@saarwilf I disagree with the reasoning since it applies to all businesses. ALL businesses have same incentives. Pharma has yuuuuuge R&D costs. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@saarwilf Incorrect reasoning since it applies to all businesses. ALL businesses have same incentives. Pharma has yuuuuuge R&D costs. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) As I explained in #SkinInTheGame, he way greed is converted into virtue is via RULES. So there must be rules otherwise we fall into mafia-style anarchy. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@gbponz Yes, in other words saying someone is "greedy" is uninformative. Saying "someone doesn't play by the rules" is a proper accusation. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

INCOHERENCE OF ANTIVAXXERS The way the mkt system works is by converting BENIGN greed into collective benefits (A. Smith). So it is central to distinguish betw. benign & harmful greed (Monsanto). Saying "Pharma is greedy" is uninformative: pharma saves lives via vaxx (for now). — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @carefullycnsdrd: What is antifragility? How @nntaleb explains this fundamental concept in one of his wonderful probability lectures. 🧵 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@KurtGirdle No — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Skol_vikings3 Age > doubles the risk every 10 y — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) I was lucky that I had dropped ~15-20 lbs before getting Covid. Probably lowered the risk factor by 30%. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@tokyomas What's the elevation differential? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) I've seen joggers unable to climb stairs/hills. Climbs at > 10 METs are natural stress tests. And I've seen old ladies walk uphill with the facial expression of someone on an escalator. https://t.co/OZzhEjPYJ4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 @WaelChehab1 @BzhClair @RamziNassif @ByzLevant @Confusezeus @CynicalDiogene @PZalloua No: Abu 3amran. Yes. ابو عمران موسى بن ميمون بن عبيد الله القرطبي — PolitiTweet.org