Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

For some mysterious reasons, bitdiots stopped posting the assumed #BTC returns "Since Taleb sold". https://t.co/P7XAnK9eC4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Conflict is abt CENTRALIZATION: 1) Large expansionary centralized states (CN, RU) vs system of independent units, in NATO for self-protection. 2) Centralized states require a "Russian soul" style narrative & vice versa. Mearsheimer is obsolete verbalism. See #Antifragile — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @SaadMaan15: Ok genius, let's have a look on migration preferences. Conduct a poll any any country and see where people wish to live, w… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@LeoP98850591 Fuck them. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ThisIsRajMD @rmfranca @Snowden Any time someone gives me unsollicited "advice" about my "reputation" or how to write, I block. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @nntaleb: A reminder that @Snowden is a fraud. His job is to magnify (correctable) errors and imperfections in a transparent and benign… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Winner from this: + Kazakhstan [North. K has a Russian ethnic pop; thought they wd be 1st to be invaded] + Armenia [They felt betrayed by Putin over the last war & are too terrified to get too close to the West] + Georgia [obvious] + Chechen, Ingush, Tatars/Ural Mus. minorities — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

So it looks like there is an implicit No Fly Zone. [The video was verified via geolocation] — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

So it looks like there is an implicit No Fly Zone. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

When you are Georgian, you understand Russian expansionism. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

STATIC AND DYNAMIC HEDGING, lectures in memory of Peter Carr Explaining intuitively to students why we use logs in finance, leading to how to equate OTM puts to OTM calls. https://t.co/rUXeVdTszN — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

My feed is sooooooooo different. h/t @PaulSkallas — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @comgeek25: @20committee We’ve talked before, and I greatly value your analysis. If I gave the false impression that I supported Snowden… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Nice to see (as predicted) the @Snowden narrative changing. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 Who needs a no fly zone? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@TedMoondust @vladthmito Ignorant — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ For those claiming that the Covid mortality is low for the nonelderly, consider that a 40 y.o. male has 1/400 chances of death in any given year. Covid brings it closer to 1/300. [No, it's not .001 as disinformationistas are spreading] https://t.co/NeApmLh72v — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Natural immunity may beat vaccination. But avoid misinterpretation: it requires GETTING the disease, w/an associated mortality boost of 20-40% over the actuarial rate. It's like saying the best hedge against a car accident is a car accident because the car will be in the garage. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@geoffreydgraham @ggreenwald Anachronistic: 60 years. NATO is not equivalent to the Soviet Union. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@AyalSharon It starts with being spoken. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ArranDuff No. We are talking millions. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Explain NATO "aggression", Putin's myrmidon. (For those @ggreenwald is trying to confuse/disinform with textbook fallacies, NATO is a mutual defense --not aggression/invasion -- organization that democratic countries join VOLUNTARILY, unlike, as we can see, the Russian sphere). — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

A lingua franca is not just for scholars and educated people to understand one another across space (cross-sectionally); it allows texts to be understood across time. On the necessity of diglossia. https://t.co/UT0JdOTsyT — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Someone in Kyiv asked if sanctions strengthen countries via mechanisms of adaptation and upregulation (#antifragile). Small sanctions strengthen, large sanctions fragilize. Just as jumping 1 meter strengthens my bones; jumping 20 meters breaks them. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Someone in Kyiv asked if sanctions strengthens countries via mechanisms of adaptation and upregulation (#antifragile). Small sanctions strengthen, large sanctions fragilize. Just as jumping 1 meter strengthens my bones; jumping 20 meters breaks them. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

To assess the superiority of hard science, consider that some imbeciles may be cancelling Chekhov, Tolstoy or Rachmaninov; but nobody would think of cancelling Kolmogorov, Chebychev, Markov, or Sobolev. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@sweeendogz As KArl Popper said, I have thrown people out of a lecture room for asking a vastly more intelligent question. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I can understand censoring disinformation troll farms, (Igor in St Petersburgh passing for Linda in Texas & organizing libertarian meetings in Tennessee). I fail to understand censoring private Russian citizens using their own identity, or "postponing" discussions of Dostoevsky. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4) The evolution of #BTC (should it survive) could lead to a two-tier market, "pedigreed" & "questionable" coins, the latter trading at a discount (or ending up cashed-in in El Salvador or Russia). — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DrMichaelBonner These are not tanks. They are coffins. — PolitiTweet.org