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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The property that live history is messier than in books: there are numerous pro-Putin pple in the West calling themselves "balanced", just as many in the 1940s were favorable to Hitler. We don't hear about these & they themselves conveniently forgot their earlier positions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The property that live history is messier than in books: there are numerous pro-Putin pple in the West calling themselves "balanced", just as many in the 1940s were favorable to Hitler. We don't hear about these & they themselves conveniently forgot their earlier opinions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Meanwhile Saudi Barbaria executed 81 individuals yesterday. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Disinformation plays on the #FooledbyRandomness effect: anecdotes becomes salient; one is manipulated into mistaking the partial & anecdotal for a general property. Leads idiots to believe @ZubyMusic's claim that Saudi Arabia is freer than the UK. & remember, @Snowden is a fraud. — PolitiTweet.org
Omar š¤ š¤ š¤ @omar_ghyad
Saudi released Raif Badawi who spent 10 years in prison for a blog but @ZubyMusic said: https://t.co/9OmATv7ID3 https://t.co/BjvuUTW1pu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
History, like all random processes, seen backwards is smoother and way lower in entropy than when lived forward. And we tend to forget it. (#TheBlackSwan, Chapters 1-3) — PolitiTweet.org
John D. Cook @JohnDCook
Starting to think maybe the wars I read about in history classes were a tad more complicated that they were portrayed.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
History, like all random processes, seen backwards are way lower in entropy than when seen forward. — PolitiTweet.org
John D. Cook @JohnDCook
Starting to think maybe the wars I read about in history classes were a tad more complicated that they were portrayed.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BullMooseSoci Thanks! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BullMooseSoci Great saying. From where? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
All rumors are false until officially denied. — PolitiTweet.org
zerohedge @zerohedge
*BIDEN: WE WILL NOT FIGHT WAR AGAINST RUSSIA IN UKRAINE
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The theory of Silent Risk: Risks build up where they can be noticed the least and the latest. It appears that the bulk of the Russian equipment maintenance funds have been diverted to offshore accounts (Cyprus, Dubai). They just noticed. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@StefM2004 0 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mpolhill A more technical thingy. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman @ggreenwald Joe, you don't see to know how to use background information, here & with the election conspiracy. You forget to look at someone's feed: there is nothing potentially negative abt the West that he does not post, missing on the other side. You must lean to think Bayesian/base rate. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) OK, will post lecture notes as they progress. Hopefully they will revise Dynamic Hedging. https://t.co/0tSNKXYooD — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@joe_shipman @ggreenwald Joe, you are a smart guy, but one day you will start thinking in terms of Bayesian probability. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
"When you think you are out they pull you back in". RIP, Peter. https://t.co/cgjxLGZJSf — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Who needs the Saint Petersburgh disinformation troll farm when you have @ggreenwald ? It is hard to hide stuff from data scientists. — PolitiTweet.org
Kate Starbird @katestarbird
Hereās the same graph, but hovering over the greenwald substack in the center (so the visible nodes and edges are oā¦ https://t.co/cnh0Ah7vGj
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @jaffer_ali1 There is some info abt Assange that will transpire in his trial. Hint: he may have been "nudged" by V.V.P. Note that the only $ he got past decade was from RusToday as compensation. Better to keep an open, skeptical, mind, particularly when Russian troll farms push a narrative. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@adad8m @benrobbins @answrguy @Aella_Girl Incorrect responses. If IQ played a role you would see a concentration to the right with a slope, regardless of age and truncation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
... and for some hard science is whatever they flunked in college. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Gefilthio1 @Snowden @ggreenwald Never disrespected hum. Actually told him so during a fight. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@kokkinidis So why are fish eggs allowed. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sVathis We allow olive oil in the Levant since it is stored in jars; supposedly olive oil used to be stored in leather bags. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, any expert on Greek Orthodox lent? By what logic is tarama allowed but not poultry eggs? Is bottarga allowed? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You never really "accept" in statistics. You "fail to reject". A video tutorial is in preparation. https://t.co/mwLbkaalzg — PolitiTweet.org
Benjamin Francis @carefullycnsdrd
@nntaleb @Snowden @ggreenwald "It is much easier for a criminal to fake being an honest person than for an honest pā¦ https://t.co/uctYqpeDoG
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
ASYMMETRY It is rigorous to change one's mind in one direction, not both. Some pple I thought were legit turned out to be frauds (@Snowden,@ggreenwald), but no fraud turned out to be legit. Same with ideas, investments (bitcoin), etc. This is similar to Popperian falsification. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No. — PolitiTweet.org
zerohedge @zerohedge
*PUTIN: RUSSIAN ECONOMY WILL ADAPT TO THE NEW CONDITIONS
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
For journalists, hard science is anything that's not Fox News. For mathematicians, soft science is anything thatĀ“s not mathematics. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Monsieur Prudhomme carried a sword to defend the Republic and, if needed, to attack it. — PolitiTweet.org
Relevant Brother @BrotherRelevant
@nntaleb Monsieur Prudhomme made appearance in FBR intro if memory serves me correctly.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrDamluji Sorry about that. But I guess, try again. — PolitiTweet.org
