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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
THE LOGNORMAL A very treaturous distribution. https://t.co/OdcXyNxkIP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
THE LOGNORMAL A treaturous distribution. https://t.co/8FqGXmFFJZ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @mikeandallie: This is an excellent point all by itself. I think mathematicians and traders are better than average at changing their m… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Data are not information, facts are not (statistical) evidence: how disinformationistas play with your mind. https://t.co/q9tXBOc0aP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Answer: roughly 3.2% https://t.co/7Ax5tGYkke — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
FINANCE QUIZ DU JOUR You invest in a 2 YR Bond yielding 2.42%. What is your total return after one year assuming all rates stay the same? https://t.co/Em3iUt27cP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
What is happening to Russian Oligarchs confirms what an old trader told me: it is safer to be rich, but not too rich. Ma non troppo. Russians with moderate fortunes under 50 Mil are off the radar screen. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Debating two bitcoiners. Lebanese wine of course and vegan food for lent. I did not even try to win the debate. Gur now teaches cryptos at #RWRI. Omid @malekanoms extracted a blurb for his book on #BTC. In vino mendacium. https://t.co/ilBLaW6c9f — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NonMeek And the problem of induction. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NonMeek Yes, I was looking for it! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@han0z Different problem here. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@akgoyal Posted. Thanks. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You can't fool the eye. The trend line is not a trend line. Most people apply regression like a cookbook recipe downloaded from the NYT. More explanation on what correlation & regression mean https://t.co/jLtf6pWnKe — PolitiTweet.org
Hal Singer @HalSinger
The next time Larry Summers, Jason Furman, or their ilk tell you that "greed remained constant" in 2021 and thus th… https://t.co/DzwHjFarw3
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Righthinker2 Did you die? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Once again, vaccination is what saved us from the risks of Covid. It is just not possible to control connectivity in the modern world solely via physical isolation. https://t.co/aAbUYLy6O7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@samijiries He replied to this piece by posting a "Lebanese National IQ" to explain why I didn't like IQ. https://t.co/sR5GJEHz60 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TMessi_1 @NahanniFinanci1 @JamesMarsh79 @Sharpe_Actuary @trishankkarthik Angle distortion. You have evidence of opposite. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) And, when in a group, you will lose more friends by changing your mind (regardless of the strength of evidence) than if you had different opinions to start with. Apostasy is vastly worse than unbelief. Life is path dependent. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Voila https://t.co/9NbB0P30UN — PolitiTweet.org
Christoph Molnar @ChristophMolnar
@nntaleb Bayes' theorem: P(H | D) = P(D | H) P(H) / P(D) Conspiracy' theorem: P(H | D) = P(H) where H: Hypothes… https://t.co/U2CLBBo72c
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@samijiries He buys the country-IQ fraud that people in East Med are ALL borderline special needs. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Technically speaking, CONSPIRACY THEORISTS have their posterior beliefs invariant to their *prior*, regardless of the information provided. They lack a mechanism for updating their knowledge. In #TheBlackSwan, showed how 2 persons shown exact same information fail to converge. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @PieroCastellano: Amazing thread, trying to explain how polycultist Greek polytheism was, which is an incredible complicated concept to… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
If probability is the Queen of Science, statistics is its drill sergeant. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@malduarte Read the whole thread before commenting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@nu_protege_ Ask for a scholarship — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@J_Jakobowski Then, imbecile, using their metaphor (which is both true and representative) does not imply I got my "policy degree" from them. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) And what people are not getting about EU "benefits": it is very EFFECTIVE in helping poorer and less developed countries catch up to the richer "North". Recently: Cyprus, Malta, Poland, etc. Earlier: Italy, Spain, Greece, Portugal. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@J_Jakobowski You are assuming I am like you some brainless & intellectually insecure pseudo-scientist who needs to take his opinion from *somewhere* ? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@jay7yagi No problemo — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@d_castroesilva @pauld198 You assume you can't implement norms without joining. Turkey has implemented Euro norms and has had the same economic jump over the period. — PolitiTweet.org
