Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Time to reveal my secret @Jordanbpeterson Heuristic (given his despicable recent behavior). Conference organizers invite w/the list of past hotshot speakers. Gives you an idea of the audience. My rule is to search for Peterson. If there, I click an automated letter declining. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @joe_shipman @SaadMaan15 @EdmondShami @financequant @shakeel Same as 3ali ( עלי) (not to confuse with Elie/Elias, from Eliaho אֵלִיָּהוּ) — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@rfmckean You shd refrain from bullshitting. I was giving an example of nonlinearities. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@J_Mouka Why are ALL Aounistas so stupid? Is it genetic, or some shared water somewhere? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@imleslahdin 16 modernists, plus plenty of new faces across older parties — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

NONLINEARITIES Babbling losers are complaining about the flipping of "only" ~14% seats in the general election in #Lebanon ((9+9)/128, not realizing it is operationally huge. You can create a human by altering less than 1½ % of the DNA of a chimp. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joe_shipman @SaadMaan15 @omar_ghxd @EdmondShami @financequant @shakeel One can argue the reverse: many Arabic names are adaptation of Jewish names: Obadia->Abdalla, Musa, Ibrahim, Yussef, Yunes, ... — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@davidboxenhorn @SaadMaan15 @omar_ghxd @EdmondShami @joe_shipman @financequant @shakeel That's the true cognate. The false one is plural of nis — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 @omar_ghxd @EdmondShami @joe_shipman @financequant @shakeel No, they are false cognates (faux amis) used by Jews to Arabize. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@omar_ghxd @EdmondShami @joe_shipman @financequant @shakeel Nassim is a corruption of Nissim/Nessim used by Mizrahi Jews, then Copts, then Greek-Orthodox Rum Christians, then Persian women, now Maghrebi Muslims. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joe_shipman @financequant @shakeel The great Ahmad al Jallad uses Greek, Latin, Aramaic, and Arabic transcriptions of SAME names to identify linguistic shifts and reconstruct past phonetics. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Grrrreat tool. I use the Hilbert Transform in derivations of complicated expected values (see papers collected in Statistical Cons of Fat Tails) & indeed one needs to integrate in principal value, not in standard Riemann. https://t.co/8wEM0F3RpD — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@financequant @joe_shipman @shakeel He means phonetics drifts over time. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@NahanniFinanci1 Different poem. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @CCavafy: “The rest was dreams and vanities.” – C.P. Cavafy, “Of Demetrius Soter (162–150 B.C.)”, translated by @ae_stallings h/t @TheA… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Crypto coders don't get finance, partly from ignorance, partly from defects in reasoning that makes them blind to reality. The FDIC is precisely there to protect cash depositors in firms it SUPERVISES to make sure there is no TERRA-LUNA scam. https://t.co/P2WF4ExfwW — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @omar_ghxd: An experiment to prove social sciences aren’t really sciences: Get a bunch of third year physics students to attend a few… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@stan_yurin @NahanniFinanci1 @Jac5Connor @exergiovanni @Firsou @financequant @TMessi_1 @shakeel They publish in specialized journals in whatever subject they claim to know. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@J_Mouka What do you think? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Firsou @dzviovich F, do you live in Italy? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I don't know if you are noticing what's going on in #Lebanon, but the coalition around Hezbollah has been destroyed in the elections. They also lost more seats to new "modernist" faces. Yuuuge optimism; but watch out: Hezb doesn't like democracy when it doesn't work for them. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@joe_shipman @financequant @shakeel There are, like Sibawayh's Kitab c.760 (He was Persian), that delves into phonology. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

5) Notes + When someone bears the name "soter" s.a. the Greco-Syrian King Demetrius Soter (famous for other reasons than the "soter"), immortalized by one of Cavafy's finest poems, it is usually for modest claims. Or in Jewish history the closest thing to a "Messiah" is Cyrus. https://t.co/if1Zj1NQfp — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

5) Notes + When someone bears the name "soter" s.a. the GrecoSyrian King Demetrius Soter, immortalized by one of Cavafy's finest poems, it is usually for modest claims. Or in Jewish history the closest thing to a "Messiah" is Cyrus. https://t.co/PATVY8e84K — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4) Notes + Some play the "counterfactual game", say "what if Hitler was born a girl". Some pple may disproportionately affect history; but these are very very rare exceptions. We tend to pathologically anthropomorphize change. + Views here are compatible with Burke's. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@kirk_mv Imbecile, Magna Carta was 560 years before the French Revolution. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@kirk_mv Look up historical rec before writing nonsense. Its gains PRECEDED the revolution. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) Notes + Trump came to DC on the promise of magically making things different. A lot of talk, & whatever he delivered (vaccine fast track, printing & distributing money, weapon sales to KSA) had nothing to do with what he promised ex ante and wants reckoned ex post. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Notes + Compare the French Revolution (which set back democracy more than 60 years) to the English progressive constitutional monarchy [and... it is still a monarchy] + What you see with the Lebanese election is largely the result that ~170,000 voters have died since 2018. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@EdmondShami I meant funerals of the old class. — PolitiTweet.org