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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NahanniFinanci1 Try conditioning on a "true" P-Val of .1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@riachi_jean Non, Anglaise surtout. Les E-U ont mis du temps pour elire un catholique! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) A logical error is to focus on production costs. The problem can be mostly logistics. China dependence = Shipping. An extreme example: a tomato at Cosco selling for $1 costs 7-18c at the farm, 1-3% end margin, so between 80-90% transportation, warehousing, perishability, etc. https://t.co/P9AkpvFRDi — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) There is already a glut in microchips. https://t.co/PpWyC8cCq7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@erickschonfeld There is ALREADY a glut. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dutchess_boxer At the time there was no Jew-Muslim conflict, so to him Jews were "Mosaic Arabs". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik Maybe next summer season. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ektrit @Gregoresate @EdmondShami @omar_ghxd Making genealogy of claims a systematic science developed with the Hadith, even if present in Semitic cultures. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Curiously, not only did Disraeli avoid downplaying his ethnicity, but he was an... Arab supremacist! He propounded theories of racial superiority for Near Easterners "Syrians, Jews, Greeks [sic, that was pre-EU]", and particularly Arabs whom he considered "Jews on horseback". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @trishankkarthik: If there is nothing to the picture (on the left) in the petition (which I had nothing to do with), why did Joe Norman… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@EdmondShami @omar_ghxd The system must be a Muslim thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd @SaadMaan15 It appears that, indeed, a system of source reliability via chains of credence is a Muslim thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd Must be. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The mechanism: overadjustment to shortages. $$ to produce substitutes elsewhere, plus adaptation away from expensive product. 1973 oil shock led to slow adaptation [speed limits, smaller cars] => 1980s glut; today things are much, much faster. Now watch microchips. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) This is even clearer: "We protect the Germans from Russian AND they pay billions buying oil from them and their chancellor is a chairman of a Russian oil company..." h/t @David_N_Frank https://t.co/qGRGpbCwL4 — PolitiTweet.org
Reason Magazine Mises Caucus @ReaCauc
“Germany is totally controlled by Russia.” -Donald Trump (7/11/18) https://t.co/h5KyTI0uXj
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/rM6lB6FKY0 — PolitiTweet.org
David Frank Writes @David_N_Frank
@nntaleb This is an even more prominent example as he was sitting at a table right across from EU/Germany leaders a… https://t.co/Sky44rvfuh
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
HOW FINANCE IS HARD Wheat is trading below where it was when the Ukraine war started. Never fall for first order narratives. {#FatTony made his fortune shorting oil after the First Gulf War.} https://t.co/kvJbzcBwP0 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik Joe Norman is execrable. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I have been growing a profound allergy to Trump, but anyone with intellectual integrity must accept that, on that account, he had a point & that he has the last laugh. — PolitiTweet.org
Velina Tchakarova @vtchakarova
In 2018, Trump made outrageous claims about German energy at the UN, and the German delegation’s reaction was price… https://t.co/ml0irhjczw
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrDamluji You in NY? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd The need is for 1) multiple, 2) independent and 3) reliable sources for things to be well attested. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @ArieHaziza: ‘RWRI has evolved into a scalable BS busting operation. All you need to do in life and business is spot BS; the rest takes… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Borgeby_ @luhccio He changed his name. Born Szymon Perski. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@arun8910 I block idiots. Sorry. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TheColourOfHear @CathyYoung63 He is from the Mandarin class: Westchester/Oxford/Stanford. It is very different for the guardians of the system. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ofer_rubin He wrote Tancred! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@a337uk @CathyYoung63 You think... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A not very well known fact: the British put class way above ethnicity. Sunak, with a Winchester/Oxford background has a huge advantage over others of Anglo origin & lesser credentials. The UK had a Sephardic PM (Disraeli), something Israel has never had. https://t.co/p6QsHOuIlN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@otrasenda_AC @pauld198 The eddington number is not dimensionless. 30 times 30 miles != 50 times 50 km != 30 times 30 km, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AIOverlord777 @RyanHeng360 US fatalities per year https://t.co/q1TAaLccYL — PolitiTweet.org
