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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Perhaps the most misunderstood idea in the "empirical" sciences is that a correlation of 90% is closer to 0 than 1. We shd train students to *visualize* rather than absorb formulas nonprobabilist statisticians can't understand. (See my comment on IQ) https://t.co/r5mlHRUMpQ https://t.co/pKfr5nYwmt — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sebs_tweets @rorysutherland England loves its aristocrats as background decor; it has a merchant culture. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
MISTAKE I MADE: I missed that 1-Cycling risks drop dramatically w/infrastructure, 2-Infr. wd improve *unexpectedly* fast w/the "Copenhagenization" of Paris/London. 3-The E-bicycle is a VASTLY more intelligent solution than the E-car: transforms every hilly city into Amsterdam — PolitiTweet.org
Craig Bonthron @CraigBonthron
@nntaleb Apparently Steve Jobs favourite chart, which is why he called the personal computer a bike for the brain.… https://t.co/FuRji893wu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hjluks Actually, here is how it worked: Average low Z2 but short peaks. Hills bring some volatility. https://t.co/fCOore9MGR — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad I 've stopped reading emails in the summer. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TMessi_1 Are you sure? Saw it on their online menu. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @TMessi_1 @digvijoy_c @AleNekrasov Antonio is back! Can do after the 9th — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@TMessi_1 @trishankkarthik The only bucolic thing in Florida is infested with crocodiles. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LorenzoWVilla Atlanta, on my bicycle. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
In the Park, today: Walkers (esp. strollers) look meditative, serene &,for the most, content. Bicyclists seem to be enjoying themselves (except for MBAs in aerodynamic skinsuits). But runners look in pain, w/the expressions of future journalism majors during a final calculus exam — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghxd @andreMSC_Engine He did not bother hitting the link WHERE I explain the stuff. BTW forgot to h/t as I saw it on your feed. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rorysutherland Heuristic: a town with the smallest number of avenues, one you can cross on foot in < 45 min. Beirut is split into 3 neighborhoods that are effectively villages, socially & economically separated: East (Christian), West (Muslim w/Christian minority),& the Shiite Southern suburb. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This idiot doen't get Simpson's paradox. https://t.co/6GGE0MsB59 — PolitiTweet.org
Toby Young @toadmeister
A researcher has compared mortality rates and Covid vaccine uptake in different Dutch municipalities and found no m… https://t.co/WVH8B6KqWU
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
5) The Semitic/Abrahamic idea of Paradise was not bucolic, but a garden [Gan Eden, Janneh]; from the suspended gardens of Babylon to the Persian Bustan. Rich merchants in the fertile crescent had enclosed gardens where it is almost always cool. https://t.co/cuHLe0HJyY — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Note: The Central Limit Theorem is REVERSE ENGINEERED for ease of proof. This shows what happens when you relax assumptions. https://t.co/Ehpgkcq2hJ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ancora https://t.co/Dti62YbNdO — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Dark88244288 @JuliusEboIa Mountaineering in CH is a British hobbyist invention. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) Bucolism since Vergil has been an urban thing -for a few weekends of low-stimulation. 4) Farmers [in pic on a tractor] almost always have metabolic syndr. [look at data]. City dwellers walk a lot. Problem is rather fake cities (post-automobile) [sprawling suburbia]. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Porkchop_EXP Those who don't die do very well later. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JuliusEboIa It is an URBAN thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The naive NeoRousseauistic w/more fallacies than pixels. 1) Pple use to huddle in villages, hated nature. Picnics are an urban thing. 2) Merchant cities is where ideas were generated. The idiot didn't notice he is using a device made in China to promote naive antiglobalism. — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan Bernard @nathanTbernard
peace is when you have a family picnic on a mass grave of your political enemies https://t.co/oY80PAUicl
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Bed of Procrustes, 3rd Ed., ready soon. https://t.co/mly50fYOOV — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hjluks The 51 was also noise, so can go both directions. Do you have longer data? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hjluks Noise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @FattestFatTony: I used to sell guys like this real estate. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
They will. They still haven't forgotten Karbala and the killing of al Husain. — PolitiTweet.org
LindyMan @PaulSkallas
Did the Iranians ever retaliate against the US for killing their general hero Soleimani?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@olganyc16 @ArieHaziza @TamerTSalameh @trishankkarthik @dzviovich @RDouady @financequant @vtchakarova @joonya__ @NonMeek @yaneerbaryam @ghchammas @DrCirillo @TalebAlexander @priavegliano 2024 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) ...plus the strategy is only "expensive" if you don't do it right. https://t.co/DZMLf7x7N8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Missing Universa? This article is like describing Venice but not mentioning the water. https://t.co/HQvjF9mXTo — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik Yes we shd act as if it is anthropogenic because the opposite error is fatal. — PolitiTweet.org
