Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

5) Notes + When someone bears the name "soter" s.a. the GrecoSyrian King Demetrius Soter, immortalized by one of Cavafy's finest poems, it is usually for modest claims. Or in Jewish history the closest thing to a "Messiah" is Cyrus. https://t.co/PATVY8e84K — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I remember vividly the month in 2000 when "new economy" people who, until then, wore pyjama-like attire to work, started showing up in suits. Actually, waiters in NY restaurants were first to detect it. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @shaarsh2: Swedish antivaxx groups now spread Russian propaganda instead. Anybody surprised by this? Conspiracy theorists are the cance… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Academie Française curatate for such a consistency. But they instigated Vatican II removing Latin from the Cath. church & killing its yuuuge edge in globalization. France thought that French would be the new Latin. But the E-U uses... English, lang. of a nonmember state! 5/n — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Beware, when discussing Bitcoin (or other volatile assets), from comparing positive and negative percentage returns. 400% up is equivalent to 80% down. I see the mistake way too often in the press. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @nntaleb: Intkhabet! https://t.co/XX2q78vUgk — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Debunking some BS https://t.co/xfjBJFBqFD — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Sell, Mortimer... — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @TheCriticMag: “Russophiles must learn that Ukraine looks the solid, traditional Orthodox power far more than Putin’s state” — @byzantin… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @ofer_rubin: @nntaleb You were right. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Boris is Petersburg passing for Linda in Texas argues about his suspension invoking his rights under the U.S. constitution. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

This is Russian Propaganda; exactly 100% backwards. Idiots believe this. In 1984, there was no web; governments had total control of information. In 2022 things are more transparent, so we see imperfections. THE TRANSPARENCY EFFECT: the more things improve the worse they look. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

NOT SO FAST The implied probability of Twitter being bought by *someone* is ~50%. The implied probability of Twitter being bought by Must is <50%. Very rough calc: TWTR is ~10% > than Nasdaq over 12 months (before accumulation), and abt >10% lower than Musk's acquisition price. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

People emigrate to the "West" because they feel free and in control of their destiny (I don't know anyone capable of tying their running shoes who would rather move to Russia than the U.S./U.K.) Well... the same applies to states. https://t.co/LgPTjkelvr — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I just published A Clash of Two Systems https://t.co/LgPTjkelvr — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The interest of the State as an abstract entity and those of the individuals composing it line up when and only when the State is small (or under pure federalism). https://t.co/LgPTjkelvr — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) & unless Twitter keeps curating & trims some offensive groups, the educated "bon chic" will go elsewhere. These have larger wallets; better targets for ads for Rollex watches... or the deluxe edition of the Incerto. Q-Anon are poor, hand-to-mouth losers. That's economics. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @EdmondShami: Our pride. The true Rûm leader. Everyone attacked him a few years ago on the Ukrainian church decision and he turned o… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4) So the point is not that Putin was not present at the event, since it made no rational sense to be an easy target. It is that felt COMPELLED to fake being there. Yuuuuge weakness. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) Russia has a SINGLE point of failure, which is why it is totally ILLOGICAL for Putin to be present at a specific place for a scheduled event. https://t.co/Lbwk5ce6ed — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Additional evidence (great job): Match this footage (exact background) to his alleged location during the actual service. Identical clothes/face for both. https://t.co/6ON3OwaYcS — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

It turns out that Putin is the actor, and Zelenskiy the real person. [The Easter service event on Russian TV was staged and Vladimir Vladimirovich was not present at the service; they used an old footage of him *acting* in an empty church.] — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ https://t.co/ssPIlwOA66 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Translation... sort of. https://t.co/lw3gFapiV4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

OK, done. https://t.co/sFs8eoi53O — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

This is pretty much intellectual fraud. https://t.co/2jdgqzZfdW — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

OK, ready to give the overview of Black Scholes in class tomorrow. It is not that my knowledge of finance was concerved over > 1 decade, but it actually increased from latently brewing it. The derivations are coming out very naturally. https://t.co/ERWdfVxXVR — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

THE LOGNORMAL A treaturous distribution. https://t.co/8FqGXmFFJZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @mikeandallie: This is an excellent point all by itself. I think mathematicians and traders are better than average at changing their m… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @PieroCastellano: Amazing thread, trying to explain how polycultist Greek polytheism was, which is an incredible complicated concept to… — PolitiTweet.org