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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @yaneerbaryam: Doctors and nurses are being threatened daily not to tell about conditions, including lack of personal protective equipme… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Not surprising given my analysis of the Marseilles data (see tweet w/the Mathematica file). The question is how large the effect. Also why the smear campaign ag. Raoult? OK, he's the most cited virologist who talks on TV like a TV healer; doesn't help. https://t.co/mjkkonQbse — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Mike Lawler (@mikeandallie) should make his kids derive the significance of the Raoult chloroquine results, a trivial illustration --something that seems to escape medical commentators. https://t.co/IUeVtw57ff — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @mikeandallie: Explaining an important statistical idea in @nntaleb 's "What you see and what you don't see" paper to kids: https://t.co… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@marco_m_alves @JDrake45902915 @raoult_didier @IzouletMaxime @RiganoESQ @JamesTodaroMD @ScottAdamsSays Raoult perhaps — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @PoornimaL: Just done with the black swan- The problem with @nntaleb is he has WAY more respect for a humble chauffeur than the run of t… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends, an obvious test w/asymmetric signal: How many pple treated for rheumatoid arthritis, lupus, or malaria by a *certain* dosage of chloroquine or hydrochquine have been under ventilation for corona vs rest of local population? Answer wld be a v. strong statistical signal. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Even in St Georges Hospital in Lebanon they get stuff like this. In NY and Italy, doctors are ignoring "official" guidelines & applying the Raoult therapy early on. Note: Raoult knows his stuff about patients/treatment, not the dynamics of epidemics. https://t.co/V8sTAdXugz — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
SUSPICIOUS: + Why the WHO bias against masks & Chloroquine? Latter used by doctors in NY, Italy (combination) in early stages. + Why the smear campaign ag. Raoult? He is the most cited viologist + Recall statistical BS in Forbes/Bloomberg + Pharma shut down a factory in France https://t.co/5O9DD2x36N — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is spin: WHO is a very incompetent org. Prevented masks & were 5 steps behind. Can't get risk asymmetry! Stat ignorant WHO now trying to do complicated "science" & degrading simple chloroquine in spite of of huge signal, using "dble blind" buzzwords. https://t.co/IeLdDlpKbQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @yaneerbaryam: Click to sign our petition for a 5-week national lockdown! @nntaleb https://t.co/GayNRe7CSL — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Turned out the real alpha was close to 1. So the measured alpha is biased for the same reasons. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Safaitic: #coronaepigraphy day 13: How many generations of your family can you count back? This #Safaitic inscription contains a geneal… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@_dXf_ @PrDidierRaouIt Je suis d'accord avec Raoult. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @IvanBlecic: @nntaleb, @yaneerbaryam & the gang won this debate. There's an expression in Italian: "la merda viene a galla". Fascinating… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The UK's coronavirus policy may sound scientific. It isn't | Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Yaneer Bar-Yam https://t.co/oyCXKPanbu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
DECISION-MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY & ASYMMETRY Let me make my point clear. Does Chloroquine work? I am not sure. Bu… https://t.co/H1aTqtYbRP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Statistical flaw in the conclusion: That study says almost NOTHING about Chloroquine. The comparison now is conditi… https://t.co/IGq7evdknu
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) In other words: Compare # of people who don't recover but received Chloroquine to # people who don't recover and… https://t.co/HUjTCP9KGT — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Statistical flaw in the conclusion: That study says almost NOTHING about Chloroquine. The comparison now is conditi… https://t.co/IGq7evdknu — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @HarryDCrane: Cost how many lives? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Firefly_fan: @nntaleb commenting John "clueless" Ioannidis: https://t.co/nFpERSoQQC NAILS IT. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
EVIDENCE BASED is often BS: Something to bear in mind if you hear "evidence based" (and the cluelessness of John Io… https://t.co/Z3D1x7CUXe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @HarryDCrane: Friends, early draft on Naive Probabilism and coronavirus. Thoughts and suggestions, please. https://t.co/d5C6hiOxXx — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
OK, Trump woke up. He understood that the solution is acting NOW in reducing connectivity. 30 days travel ban from Europe is perfect. Let the states ban public transportation/close all gatherings for 30 days. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @paulportesi: You just haven't seen the other side of the distribution. @nntaleb This quote has always stuck with me. Its elegance and… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @pierre_fraser: Le #coronavirus et les erreurs journalistiques Dans un tweet dont seul @nntaleb a le secret, ce dernier à souligné que… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: @JonGordon11 Had you understood anything from my work you wouldn't have writen such bullshit. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JonGordon11 Had you understood anything from my work you wouldn't write such bullshit. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @paulportesi: @nntaleb Wittgenstein ruler https://t.co/99DvQFILoD — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MarinaStavrou9 @hermitian_asad 🐘 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @yvespatte: Il y a quelques jours, pendant que des éditorialistes nous disaient qu'il n'y avait pas à s'inquiéter du coronavirus, des ch… — PolitiTweet.org