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David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @DavidGauke: There is another bout of optimism in the Brexit talks. A deal may well be reached. But it is worth noting that if Boris Joh… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @callummay: Did she dye in vain? https://t.co/RTh7tBizFl — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
@BenRigbyJourno Yes. Wearing thin. Very kind. — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
All these arguments for no deal may be hopeless & reckless but they will be made. Brexit Party types will accuse Boris Johnson of betraying the 'will of the people' (Ben's piece is a pre-emptive strike). The politics of this for the PM are not straightforward. /END — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Unlike the current tax, currency & regulatory border, a customs border between NI & RoI would need a physical infrastructure. The risks of this in terms of the peace process are real & obvious. (In 2016, the Leave campaign promised this wouldn't be necessary.) /9 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Such a repudiation would be a breach of international law & devastating for the UK's international reputation (we know what Joe Biden thinks). Ben acknowledges that, if we leave the SM & CU there has to be a border but casually says put it between NI & RoI. /8 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Finally, a further 'advantage' of no deal is that the Withdrawal Agreement can be repudiated, removing the border in the Irish Sea. This was a key part of the 'oven-ready' deal signed by the PM in October, put to the country in December & legislated for in January. /7 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Then there's fish. Ben acknowledges that it's a 'small part' of our GDP but this could 'materially increase'. Perhaps double it to a whopping 0.2% of GDP? Anyway, many of our fishermen rely on export mackerel and herring to... the EU. No deal not so good for them. /6 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Except it's combined with a belief in the benefits of deregulation for financial services. We know we're losing passporting rights but what are the EU regulations that we can scrap? In particular, those we can scrap only without a deal? Will this counteract what we've lost? /5 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
The case is then made that free of EU state aid rules, we can follow a buy-British, interventionist economic policy, using 'differentials in tax rates to drive industry towards certain outcomes' - more Tony Benn than Margaret Thatcher. A touching faith in Govt intervention. /4 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
This is 'exports good/imports bad' mercantilist nonsense. And who would pay the tariffs? UK consumers. As for providing grants to compensate our exporters, that is contrary to WTO rules. So much for Brexit being about free trade. /3 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
The arguments for no deal are deeply flawed. In this case, the first argument is that EU exporters to the UK would pay more in tariffs than the other way round. This would 'rebalance' our trading relationship & give us £8bn to provide grants to our exporters, it is suggested. /2 — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
There is another bout of optimism in the Brexit talks. A deal may well be reached. But it is worth noting that if Boris Johnson makes the compromises necessary to get a deal, he's taking a political risk - there will plenty of people who will cry betrayal. Here's one example. /1 — PolitiTweet.org
Ben Habib @benhabib6
Project Fear, perpetrated by swathes of the establishment, including @DavidGauke in @ConHome, spin the yarn no-deal… https://t.co/C0NBDc2LJC
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @pmdfoster: No-deal Brexit to cost more than Covid, Bank of England governor says - notably different to how @RishiSunak put it on #Ma… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @DharshiniDavid: With it yet to be revealed what scars Covid may leave on prosperity, the Governor of the Bank of England claims the lon… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @IvoGraham: Pfizer vaccine: effective, protective and safe Modena vaccine: effective, protective and safe Oxford vaccine: effective, pro… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @NeilDotObrien: JUST ONE GRAPH IN THE DAILY MAIL - a thread. — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
Very good point. — PolitiTweet.org
stuart mcdonald @ActuaryByDay
Those struggling with difficult decisions about whether to get-together with loved ones at Christmas may find it he… https://t.co/pgngI6GGDP
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @TimPitt11: This week's spending review is going to leave the Tories with a hugely significant strategic decision for the next decade. I… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
@jillongovt @MatthewdAncona Feck! Corruption! zzz — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @IanShepherdson: The (only) "70% effective" headlines for the Oxford vaccine are misleading; that's the average result for two different… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @Peston: With UK having bought 100m doses, more than 66m people could receive Oxford/AZN vaccine in next few months based on more effect… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @DavidGauke: It would be lovely to have a normal Christmas. But if Christmas 2020 turns into a super spreader event just weeks before we… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @DavidHenigUK: I suspect not many of my followers are readers of the Daily Express but this should be noted. There is precisely zero cha… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @davidallengreen: The significance of the resignation of Sir Alex Allan - what the resignation signifies about the government's hubris… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @GeorgeWParker: Very good piece by @DavidGauke. This particularly applies to @RishiSunak - who is continuing his habit of keeping his he… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @mattfrei: @pmdfoster @DavidGauke Reminiscent of Trump and Republicans — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
@mattfrei @pmdfoster Indeed. — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @pmdfoster: Penetrating @DavidGauke analysis - most of the cabinet want a #Brexit deal but are afraid to stick heads above parapet for f… — PolitiTweet.org
David Gauke @DavidGauke
RT @RSSkeptic: @DavidGauke Let’s reschedule Xmas for the summer when we have been vaccinated. We could call it an Australian Style Christmas — PolitiTweet.org