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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Pro tip for male interview subjects: Check to see if everything is zipped before you meet with a reporter. — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Dawsey @jdawsey1
Going for bloody marys with @Olivianuzzi always works out well. https://t.co/f2ziMsU3A3
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@BlossomDearie1 Glad you're running this Twitter account in her honor. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Was Danny’s Sea Palace where @BlossomDearie1 was performing 6:00 shows? I saw her once in the Nineties and I so treasure the memory. — PolitiTweet.org
Stephanie D'Abruzzo @DAbruzzoTweets
I love that they have cassettes! When I saw @BlossomDearie1 perform at the long-gone Danny's Sea Palace in the 1990… https://t.co/iuE9vBnsc3
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Inspiring to learn that with a bit better spin from Ron Ziegler, Nixon could have spent his life claiming that he served two full terms. And that he left office as the most popular president in history until Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Weigel @daveweigel
Well, everyone knows Custer died at Little Bighorn. What this book presupposes is... maybe he didn't? https://t.co/NQmYtlQUe7
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@dfsparks The context of my original tweet was about campaigns that defied the early polls. Nobody expected Sanders to win NH and come within a sliver of winning Iowa. He also got over 40 percent of the vote in the primaries. And, I had exactly 4 words to work with in the original tweet. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Fine. Check back with me in 2021 when I vow to be more interesting. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Two other reasons: Too much time has been wasted arguing that Trump should be removed as incaapable under the 25th amendment. And I really don’t want to think about his childhood or his father or his sexual history. Sorry. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Because, in part, I have seen my fellow journalists mishandle this terribly in terms of other political figures. See, for example, Gail Sheehy on the Clintons. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Serious point: Reciting a line of psychiatric diagnosis doesn’t get you closer to understanding Trump. I will interpret his actions without a veneer of diagnosis. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Sorry I have disappointed you. But as I grew older I vowed that there was no way I could remain forever Jung. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@dkahanerules Scariest movie of my childhood, long before I looked for political meaning anywhere. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Damn. Why is reality always more complicated? I will take some sustenance from the director's comment: "The political reference to Senator McCarthy and totalitarianism was inescapable but I tried not to emphasize it because I feel that motion pictures are primarily to entertain." — PolitiTweet.org
Jeff Greenfield @greenfield64
It's more complicated. Some saw it as a MCarthy parable, others about the danger of Commuist infiltration. The prod… https://t.co/Z9dL06gwbB
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron Because I'm not qualified to assess anyone's psyche. I'm happy to revile his behavior, scorn his values and pray for the republic. But I don't believe in playing armchair shrink. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
As you know, the original 1950s "Invasion of the Body Snatchers," was a parable on McCarthyism. So the analogy is perfect. Also, it was a great horror film. — PolitiTweet.org
Joanne Freeman @jbf1755
https://t.co/AjVrfzDduY
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@apelavin Difference is that the early polls don't count in the standings. The better analogy to April baseball are the actual results from the early states like Iowa and NH. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@TweedSuitEsq My deepest apologies. I should not have included Harris. This was not something I had intended to spend 20 minutes on, especially on a Saturday. That said, she was tremendously over-hyped. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@TweedSuitEsq Wasn't cherry-picking at all. Was looking for a top-rated poll on Nate Silver's website from January. This one was the first one that I found. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@TweedSuitEsq Stalemate. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Depends on how you define it. In a national late January Monmouth Poll, Harris was running third with 11 percent against a former VP and a 2016 candidate who got 40 percent of the primary vote. Those to my mind were very good numbers for a Senator who was only elected in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org
Tweed 💎 @TweedSuitEsq
@MrWalterShapiro @SenatorZero That’s not really true. Her poll numbers only shot up after the first debate. She was… https://t.co/Io3EQg44Nn
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
We have hit 100% agreement. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
For sure. And there are also better and worse ways to read the polls, e.g. you do want to pay attention to Iowa. B… https://t.co/FmyDpGGMzf
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@SenatorZero I wrote 2019, I think. My point (and I didn't have many words to work with) is that she was over-hyped from the beginning partly based on pretty good poll numbers. Maybe I shouldn't have included her, but her withdrawal is so recent. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@merkin_muffly Calm down. Almost nobody in the spring of 2015 expected Bernie to get more than 40 percent of the primary vote. Remember we're on Twitter and I didn't have many characters to work with. It certainly wasn't an effortless romp for Hillary. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
We're more in agreement than not. I agree that picking, say, Julian Castro at random would not have been a wise move. But too often the way the polls are treated by TV pundits and many experts is that they are absolutely definitive six or nine months before anyone votes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Well the early polling leader wins ~50% of the time, whereas if you just pick a candidate at random, you'll be righ… https://t.co/bQG2CBFNsM
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@DKarol And I initially forgot (or psychologically suppressed) Trump, so I guess we're still at a standoff. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@DKarol You may be right. But certainly early polling didn't see Trump in 2016 or how close Bernie could come to Hillary. There is also a question of sample size, since we have only had social media since 2008 and the current cable TV obsession since about 2000. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
This is the loneliest cause in politics. Early handicapping is almost always wrong or off-base. (Obama 2008, McCain's 2008 collapse and comeback, Hillary's close call in 2016 and Kamala's 2019 collapse). But the poll-driven pundits just keep reciting meaningless numbers. — PolitiTweet.org
Stuart Rothenberg @StuPolitics
As I said ten months ago, all the attention to early polls was a mindless waste of time. Now, some six weeks before… https://t.co/eCNlUo1jhg
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Sadly, I assume that Democrats in response will start having fund-raisers at Arby's. — PolitiTweet.org
Garance Franke-Ruta @thegarance
Also opens up a whole wine track elitist conversation about Democrats in general https://t.co/q2HHqBVbVm
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
One tiny thought: If reelected, I assume that Amash would either not vote for Speaker or vote for someone as a protest. That means that he would really only take one-half a vote away from Pelosi or whoever the Democrat is. — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Marshall @joshtpm
2/ Let me expand on this. Amash has my undying admiration for his stand. But I assume there is a Democrat in the ra… https://t.co/3HHvW6cxI6
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@lefoudubaron I refuse to probe Trump's psyche. I would sooner tour the Amazon barefoot and devoid of insect repellent. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Tear up your Christmas lists. We have the ideal present for someone who has everything except taste and a sense of humor. Cartoonist Jim Davis is selling off his lifetime collection of non-funny original Garfield comic strips. https://t.co/DR2kAgIEcg — PolitiTweet.org
