Walter Shapiro

@MrWalterShapiro ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 7, 2020

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Sat Dec 21 22:44:03 +0000 2019

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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DKarol And I initially forgot (or psychologically suppressed) Trump, so I guess we're still at a standoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DKarol You may be right. But certainly early polling didn't see Trump in 2016 or how close Bernie could come to Hillary. There is also a question of sample size, since we have only had social media since 2008 and the current cable TV obsession since about 2000. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

We're more in agreement than not. I agree that picking, say, Julian Castro at random would not have been a wise move. But too often the way the polls are treated by TV pundits and many experts is that they are absolutely definitive six or nine months before anyone votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Well the early polling leader wins ~50% of the time, whereas if you just pick a candidate at random, you'll be righ… https://t.co/bQG2CBFNsM

Posted Dec. 21, 2019 Hibernated