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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Generic ballot tracker up: https://t.co/7mfucyzZh6 https://t.co/lKOkkKAaZE — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Redistrict: I've seen enough: the vote to recall CA Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) fails. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @paulmromer: @EricTopol @ashishkjha The paper is yet another embarrassment. It is advocacy that pretends to be science. It discredit… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @EricTopol: @NateSilver538 Just to add, Nate, that their statement represents, in my view, blatant paternalism. Lack of respect for peop… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
To bring this full circle, some of the least robust evidence was in that Provincetown breakthrough study. Very prel… https://t.co/jcMcBGOwo8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's also inconsistency re: breakthrough infections. Anti-booster folks say they don't matter much since severe… https://t.co/6akF75ydim — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There is *not* robust evidence that vaccine boosters trade off with first doses elsewhere. It is a plausible theory… https://t.co/VzTLp3z7bX — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's still very little evidence that the supply of vaccine doses is finite as opposed to being responsive to inc… https://t.co/lganZ94c1p
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
What I find frustrating about this (in agreement with Dr. Topol) is that it's *very* easy to move the bar for what… https://t.co/ABrfTLAXwG — PolitiTweet.org
Eric Topol @EricTopol
This is where I disagree w/ the panel. Many studies on reduced efficacy have been published in the media & preprint… https://t.co/OMeH4…
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This is not really a surprise. A supermajority of voters are vaccinated. There are a few conservatives who are pro-… https://t.co/6IxFJGyTWB — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Stanton @zackstanton
New @MorningConsult/@politico numbers: — Requiring all employers with 100+ employees to mandate vaccinations: 58%… https://t.co/2UK7gsTxOx
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I want these experts to weigh in on the immunological benefits and risks of booster doses. That's where they're in a unique position to add insight. Instead we get a lot of everything else while e.g. the Israeli data is hand-waved away. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I am also not confident in these predictions about pop psychology ("may undermine confidence in primary vaccination") as these have often been wrong throughout the pandemic (remember when some claimed the J&J pause would *increase* confidence in the vaccines?). https://t.co/rv3uvHLqE4 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's still very little evidence that the supply of vaccine doses is finite as opposed to being responsive to increased demand. https://t.co/HSrQYiFskb https://t.co/BOHrEVkL3i — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DKThomp Yeah. And unlike with, say, retirement or being a student or a full-time parent, you i) don't necessarily have a lot of peers in the same bucket; ii) you probably don't structure a new routine for yourself since you expect the unemployment to be temporary. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DKThomp It seems like unemployment is potentially a significant confounder here. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen City definitely felt busier this week but New Yorkers (at least the rich ones) are a bit like French people in tending to go on vacation in August. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende And this goes both ways, too. Under intense educational polarization, the experts/elites are less able to distinguish a partisan political position from one drawn from their actual expertise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende I think a possibly underrated factor is educational polarization. If nearly all experts in a field are left-leaning, then the left tends to trust them more to make the "right" decisions, whether it's what sort of speech to ban on social media or what COVID protocols to employ. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ThisWeekABC: .@NateSilver538 breaks down possible reasons why Pres. Biden’s poll numbers have dropped: https://t.co/KGn6cF2oDE https://… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Neoavatara It's maybe 20% outdoor masking in NYC (and ~80% indoor despite there not being a mandate). People here… https://t.co/HUhvC8yLAf — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This is probably right (the COVID policies a regime chooses more or less reflect the preferences of its population)… https://t.co/9u8Gso8wY1 — PolitiTweet.org
Aaron Astor @AstorAaron
And yet, I would venture a majority of people here don't think we are under-reacting and a majority of people on th… https://t.co/2WUoL7nQog
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Ayjchan: I don’t think speaking at a conference organized by WIV counts as a conflict of interest but it is astonishing to see that the… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Never forget that a lot of people on this platform are completely nuts. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ASDem @CarlBialik There's lots of subtle stuff going on. In NYC it's more common for adults not to have children. Also more common among LGBT people. And I suspect different cultures have higher and lower rates of intergenerational friendships. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ASDem @CarlBialik It would definitely be interesting to see that breakdown. I have a theory that people self-select friends on the basis of personality traits that are correlated with attitudes toward COVID and so looking toward what one's peer group thinks is especially limiting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ASDem @CarlBialik I'm not sure I want to get into this on a lovely Friday evening, but I can also think of reasons why parents are *more* concerned about returning to normal life, e.g. they are concerned about the impact of not-normal life on their child's development. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It probably won't be Andrew Yang but an unpopular Biden (or an unpopular Harris) running against Trump in 2024 would be relatively fruitful territory for a third-party presidential bid. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@TheStalwart As Twitter has evolved, big long threads usually contain very weak evidence, it isn't just a crypto thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Maybe the CDC should have waited for this more robust data instead of declaring everything had changed because of Provincetown Bear Week. — PolitiTweet.org
The Washington Post @washingtonpost
CDC finds unvaccinated people 11 times more likely to die of covid, Moderna vaccine more effective in preventing ho… https://t.co/Ad3nZwjiu2
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias Actually I sort of take that back. Restaurants are subjectively often quite busy in NYC, but it's probably easier to get a table at your favorite spots because some formerly exclusive places have expanded capacity given permanent outdoor (or in some cases "outdoor") dining. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias One concern is that it's in the sweet spot for business dining and so is overly affected by continued work-from-home policies. It shows a huge drop in Manhattan, for instance. But it's still ~as hard as usual to get a table at the more desirable, neighborhood-y restaurants here. — PolitiTweet.org
