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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen I also like the Tyler Cowen notion that there's some threshold below which micromanaging your risk is not worth it. https://t.co/Zvornc8RTn — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If this is the new normal (where you go through an incredibly fraught decision process to determine whether it's OK to meet a friend you haven't seen in 2 years for coffee) then it's no wonder the vast majority of people prefer the old normal. https://t.co/WGS6EaP79M https://t.co/K8OJ5R5u7J — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Noahpinion IDK I think rideshare companies score at a high percentile in serving a useful need that had reflected a real market inefficiency before it was met. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@bendreyfuss Bad idea unless you want to be dealing with the Omicronus Rex variant for the next decade or so. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It would genuinely have been kind of shocking if the Harden-Simmons trade *hadn't* happened, too much deadweight loss. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@TheStalwart Have you looked at the NHL standings? https://t.co/Y2ywG77IEF — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SethPartnow That's probably true, but in a way that creates more incentives for brinksmanship. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@LemieuxLGM Yeah, the editors very much thought that Clinton was a cinch and so they had a freebie to increase their both-sides cred. https://t.co/PIPEas7ZnX — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ReubenR80027912 @LemieuxLGM I mean, I think the Times is even more self-conscious about setting the narrative than it was in 2016, but I also think it's improved in a lot of ways. It's a complicated institution. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@LemieuxLGM It doesn't even mention the email story specifically, but I think this article is still the best capsule summary of the Times's mentality circa 2016. It was a quite *conscious* both-sidesism. https://t.co/uiRClIcIbg https://t.co/U7oxmVQF64 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias @DouthatNYT I mean, I think sometimes people say "let's end restrictions" when what they *mean* is "I want life to be more like it was in 2019", which involves a wider category of factors, many of which don't fall into the bucket of government-imposed policies. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DouthatNYT But even just walking around NYC and so forth, there are times and places where things will feel completely like 2019 (and at times during the pandemic, even an exaggerated "let's make up for lost time" version of it) and others where they're desolate and depressing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DouthatNYT I think what's tricky is that the return to normal in blue states/cities might best be described as "patchy". I'm in a patch where things happen to be pretty normal, but there are a lot of qualifiers there including a) not having kids b) my friends being "vaxxed and relaxed". — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @jbarro: Yesterday, @NateSilver538 asked me why COVID policy is so much tighter in LA than politically-similar NYC. NY drops its mask ma… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @elena___mejia: We analyzed 138 formerly redlined cities and found that most are still segregated decades after redlining was banned ––… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@richardmskinner If Pfizer had announced Phase 3 results before the election, as they were originally on track to do before changing protocols, that might have changed things, likely increasing vax acceptance among Rs but decreasing it among Ds. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@richardmskinner For better or worse, a majority of Trump voters (especially older Trump voters) *have* gotten vaccinated which probably ought to count for something. But, I agree this is one thing that could have gone differently with Trump getting more credit from his base. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Put another way, elites were less concerned about maintaining credibility than I would have expected. Thought that too is largely a matter of partisanship—both because the elites themselves are partisan and because their audiences are. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Upon further consideration, I guess the second category (the extent of elite self-servingness/hypocrisy) did surprise me a bit, not the direction but the degree — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I still wonder if there's a world in which Trump was more hawkish on COVID early on and that changes the polarity on a *lot* of things. But ever since he wasn't the politics of the COVID response seem *quite* predictable. Key aspects: https://t.co/CiuRT3GR0s — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro @NickRiccardi Look forward! Also going to Cali next week for the first time since the pandemic started and curious to see what differences there are... — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@NickRiccardi @jbarro That makes sense. I also wonder if there's some sense in which the Northeast is more individualistic than the West Coast. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@NickRiccardi @jbarro Yeah, I guess what I'm wondering about is whether it's differences in political structures or differences in "culture". It does seem, more broadly, as though the West Coast is more covid-cautious than the Northeast, other factors held constant. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro @xander76 Yeah I think I'd bet against the mandate lasting for all that much longer. Could also see a world where it's around but largely unenforced. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro Do you have theories on why LA (which is *keeping* its mask mandate even as CA drops the statewide one) seems to be considerably more covid-cautious than NYC (almost no chance Adams does something similar)? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias Two hands clap and there is a sound, what is the sound of one hand? There goes your median voter theory. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@cwarzel I think people are arguing about the past (were all the restrictions and changes—which were more cumbersome at previous points in time than they are now—"worth it"?) and the future (what happens when the next variant/pandemic hits?) more than they are about the present. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Democrats have long been the larger and more pluralistic but less ideologically cohesive coalition. But the party seems well on its way to being more ideologically cohesive but less pluralistic—and smaller. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Banning legacy admissions seems like such a layup that it's kind of weird there's not more of a consensus against it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@charlescwcooke @katrosenfield @HotlineJosh What I'll never understand is whether people who characterize centrists and even very mildly heterodox liberals as "right wing" recognize that they'd be labelling 80-90% of the country as right wing by that definition. — PolitiTweet.org
