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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@LPDonovan IDK, I think precisely because his media coverage has been so bad, a SC win by 3 points (an objectively… https://t.co/lXnDJUeS0Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I may not get to it soon but someone needs to write a "it's too soon to count Biden out until South Carolina" take… https://t.co/tJKHqybiBp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @laurabronner: What's behind the Klobucharge? @geoffreyvs and I had a look. She did especially well with late deciders -- 75% of her vot… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Endorsements in February: Bloomberg: 9 Biden: 6-1 lost to Klobuchar = 5 net Klobuchar: 3 Buttigieg: 2 Steyer: 1 Wa… https://t.co/I085oLWFhC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Mattiello, who has now endorsed Klobuchar, had previously been a Biden endorser. Not a great sign when you're losin… https://t.co/LsBL4qoMZL — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Holt @mattholt33

Rhode Island House Speaker Nicholas Mattiello and Senate President Dominick Ruggerio, arguably the two most powerfu… https://t.co/fg86nwWqZh

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Well, 538 forecast changes are partly based on anticipating bounces, which implicitly means anticipat… https://t.co/EXDlMl7UFz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not intrinsically obvious how the media should judge candidate performance in early primaries. (Just who wins?… https://t.co/TmD59NM1Lp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @_Drew_McCoy_: There's a self-fulfilling prophacey issue too. Much less incentive to drop out as long as you are collecting some delega… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Deleted after 1 year, 7 months Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some small things helping "no majority" chances in our model: * Yang, Patrick, Bennet dropping out frees up ~5% of… https://t.co/WS2mCvW0OH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @JStein_WaPo: Tom Steyer spent $19.2 million in New Hampshire on TV and radio, per @amandawgolden, and received about 10,272 votes, per… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People don't realize how important this is. It's now looking quite hard for the field to consolidate all that much… https://t.co/PDRcEHiAeS — PolitiTweet.org

Andrew Prokop @awprokop

The frontloading for Dems on Super Tuesday may turn out to be an enormous problem for any candidate's chances of ge… https://t.co/WQadlVnj7G

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ryanabest: It's the first time in a long long while this season I can remember seeing anyone else besides Harden leading our season-to-… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: Goodbye to Andrew Yang, 2020’s most unexpectedly successful losing candidate. https://t.co/FcGzOT1r7J — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know how the "moderate knot" (between Biden, Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Bloomberg) gets untied because they c… https://t.co/8PcYL6P2qX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait You can select it from a drop-down menu. https://t.co/JaVnutYdw5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

ICYMI an overview of how our model sees the race. I'm not sure it's getting every detail right—we need more polling… https://t.co/8e90zdm4wg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner It is hard to know for sure. If he gets 18% of the vote in the Iowa caucuses instead of 15%, media cove… https://t.co/MSbSQIRJai — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In political analysis, it's pretty hard to express sentiments along the lines of "yes, this... this is the right di… https://t.co/y1reRNWtfU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner Biden has legit beefs too with the importance attached to the (not very good for him) early states and… https://t.co/c4PR6Z9OAN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @LPDonovan: What's most interesting to me about the coverage of Bernie and his performance is that he has been saddled with the expectat… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: The post-New Hampshire picture: 1. @BernieSanders is the front-runner. 2. Chance that no on wins a majority of pledged del… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take incoming: I think Bloomberg's recent bounce is more about earned media & less about paid media than many p… https://t.co/byANxWosyn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing I wonder about a bit is whether Klobuchar could step on Bloomberg's bounce. Both candidates get very favo… https://t.co/HwiyrRPvAt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But it doesn't like anyone else's position either. It doesn't see why Klobuchar should get huge momentum out of a 3… https://t.co/M0kreS7cXz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The model didn't love NH for Bernie—whom, I should say, it's been very high on—as he underperformed its projections… https://t.co/GDQGj0D3EG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model has been updated, although one needs to treat it with a lot of caution since it's making guesses about th… https://t.co/U8R8pzC9Mo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you wanna say "these should have been great states for Sanders and his performance was merely OK/decent," IMO th… https://t.co/2XJzClbHHC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Personally, I'd say the candidate who won 1.5 states (Sanders) is the frontrunner over the candidate who won 0.5 st… https://t.co/7bNpq8WROH — PolitiTweet.org

Jeremy W. Peters @jwpetersNYT

Pete, after winning Iowa, is almost beating Bernie in a state Bernie won four years ago by 22 points. Under any nor… https://t.co/VEg5Tj8kj6

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: Sanders wins the New Hampshire Democratic primary, according to our projections https://t.co/mR8cD2U5nE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @jonfavs: New Hampshire Democratic turnout has now surpassed 2016, and may beat the 2008 record. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated